60.796 | Will 2019 be the warmest year on record? | Binary |
31.350 | Will Boris Johnson become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 30 March 2020? | Binary |
18.892 | Will a "sex doll brothel" open in the US before August 1st 2019? | Binary |
17.864 | Will the DJIA hit 25,000 before it next touches 20,000? | Binary |
17.081 | What will be the voter turnout in the European Parliament election 2019? | Continuous |
14.185 | Will Jordan Peterson endorse Maxime Bernier as Canada's next Prime Minister ahead of the 2019 Canadian federal election? | Binary |
10.414 | Will 2019 see the smallest extent of Arctic Sea ice in recorded history? | Binary |
7.376 | What will be the price of a Bitcoin in USD on December 1, 2019? | Continuous |
7.370 | Will the VIX Index print above 50 in 2019? | Binary |
6.912 | Will Australia elect Bill Shorten as Prime Minister in 2019? | Binary |
6.738 | Would a Democratically controlled House impeach President Trump before the 2020 elections? | Binary |
5.669 | Will the Trump Adminstration succeed in creating a "Space Force" before the 2020 presidential election? | Binary |
5.371 | Will the EU Parliament election 2019 be free from any unlawful and significant election manipulation attempt? | Binary |
4.684 | How many predictions will have been made on Metaculus by the following dates? (December 18, 2019) | Continuous |
4.621 | Will Fulham be relegated from the English Premier League? | Binary |
4.283 | Will there be another terrorist attack causing more than 25 deaths in the United States before 2020? | Binary |
4.227 | Will the US-China trade war escalate after the initial truce period ending 24 February 2019? | Binary |
3.159 | Will a citizen of the People's Republic of China be declared a 2019 Nobel Prize winner? | Binary |
1.926 | Will Facebook's share price be lower in 3 months than it is today? | Binary |
1.792 | How many seats will the EPP get for the EU Parliament election, 2019? | Continuous |
1.374 | Will North Korea launch an intercontinental ballistic missile in 2019? | Binary |
1.143 | Will SpaceX's Starlink start deployment by 2021? | Binary |
1.115 | How many seats will the S&D get for the EU Parliament election, 2019? | Continuous |
1.091 | When will Leela Zero or some other self-learning chess engine win the world computer chess title? | Continuous |
0.881 | Will the current coalition (i.e. EPP, S&D, and ALDE) continue after the EU Parliament election, 2019? | Binary |
0.820 | Will Mark Zuckerberg be CEO of Facebook, Inc. on March 1st 2019? | Binary |
0.387 | Will AncestryDNA have 20 million people in their database before July 1st 2019? | Binary |
-0.015 | Will Louis C.K. release a stand-up special before 2021? | Binary |
-0.121 | How many seats will the various eurosceptic groups collectively achieve for the EU Parliament election, 2019? | Continuous |
-0.186 | Will Tesla deliver first $35,000 Model 3 in 2019? | Binary |
-0.388 | Will the 2019 Eurovision Song Contest be won by an EU member? | Binary |
-1.668 | Will Daenerys Targaryen die in season eight of Game of Thrones? | Binary |
-3.283 | Attempted crewed SpaceX flight prior to 2020? | Binary |