jack

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2020

Peer Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to others. Users are ranked by the sum of their Peer scores, divided by the sum of their Coverages. This creates a weighted average, where each prediction is counted proportionally to how long it was standing. To reduce the impact of luck, all forecasters start with a prior of 30 questions with a score of 0. Learn more here.

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4.938	Weighted Average Score
Score	Question	Question Type
67.615	What will be the S&P 500 end-of-day low in 2020?	Continuous
53.787	What will Tesla's market capitalization be on 1 January 2021?	Continuous
51.909	How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO African region by March 27?	Continuous
50.706	How many COVID-2019 cases in Europe will be confirmed on April the 27th?	Continuous
49.242	How many contests will Bernie Sanders win in the 2020 Democratic Primaries?	Continuous
46.635	How many total COVID-2019 cases in the USA will be confirmed on April the 27th?	Continuous
44.907	How many COVID-2019 cases will be confirmed in the location with the most cases outside of Mainland China on March the 27th?	Continuous
43.544	How many total confirmed cases of coronavirus outside of China will be reported by Johns Hopkins CSSE on March 2nd, 2020?	Continuous
43.084	How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO European region by March 27?	Continuous
43.083	How many COVID-2019 cases will be confirmed in the location with the most cases outside of China on April the 27th?	Continuous
42.942	When will the suspension of incoming travel to the US from the Schengen area be terminated?	Continuous
42.111	How many COVID-2019 cases in the United Kingdom will be confirmed on March the 27th?	Continuous
36.335	What will the US Q2 2020 GDP growth rate be, according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis Advance Estimate?	Continuous
33.952	LRT 1.6: When will the daily number of new hospital admissions for COVID-19 illness in New York City drop below 200 for the first time since mid-March?	Continuous
33.108	How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO Region of the Americas by March 27?	Continuous
32.462	What will the Metaculus community average log score be for COVID-19 related questions on 20 Jan 2021?	Continuous
30.311	Will at least one Metaculus user report a positive test result for novel coronavirus by the end of 2020?	Binary
30.012	Will the US see widespread rioting in 2020?	Binary
29.379	LRT 1.5: How many deaths due to COVID-19 will occur in the US in 2020?	Continuous
28.109	What will be the US unemployment rate for March 2020?	Continuous
27.878	How many deaths related to COVID-19 will be reported, as opposed to estimated, by WHO before 2021?	Continuous
27.277	Will another location overtake Hubei as the location of the largest COVID-19 outbreak before 2021?	Binary
26.524	Will Donald Trump's first term end before the next supreme court appointment?	Binary
26.243	Will the CDC issue a Level 3 Travel Health Notice for Thailand by May 1?	Binary
26.065	How many named tropical storms will there be in the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season?	Continuous
24.682	Will the US see a massive riot in 2020?	Binary
24.597	How many infections of COVID-19 confirmed by testing will be reported before 2021?	Continuous
22.619	Will the WHO or North Korean Government confirm any COVID-19 cases in North Korea by 2020-05-17?	Binary
22.277	What will the Seattle Police Department report as the total number of criminal offenses in March 2020?	Continuous
20.640	LRT 2.1: What is the number of total confirmed cases in the US that COVID Tracker will have in the daily report this coming Sunday, May 3rd?	Continuous
20.194	Will Trump's pants catch fire on at least five more occasions than Biden's during the month of July?	Binary
19.928	Will most UK schools reopen in time for the 2020-2021 academic year?	Binary
19.453	Will the UK government change its guidance to recommend face coverings in schools before they close?	Binary
19.281	What will the mean level of transit activity be in the city of Dallas, Texas for the week 2020-11-22 through 2020-11-28?	Continuous
18.729	What proportion of novel coronavirus infections outside China by March 27 will be due to exposure in China?	Continuous
18.348	Will Donald Trump tweet that Bernie Sanders is a communist before the 2020 election?	Binary
17.358	What will voter turnout be for the US 2020 presidential election?	Continuous
17.324	Will at least 200,000 COVID-19 deaths be reported in any single calendar month in 2020?	Binary
16.589	Will 538 outperform The Economist forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election?	Binary
16.555	When will the total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases reach 1 million?	Continuous
16.390	What will be the US unemployment rate for April 2020?	Continuous
16.299	Will the recipient of the 2020 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics work for a top cited scholastic institution?	Binary
16.262	Will at least 1 million COVID-19 deaths be reported in any single calendar month in 2020?	Binary
16.031	How many cumulative confirmed cases of coronavirus in the entire Bay Area will be reported by Johns Hopkins CSSE on April 1st, 2020?	Continuous
15.914	Will a major metropolitan area in the US, EU, or the UK experience a food shortage due to COVID-19 before June 6th, 2020?	Binary
15.898	Will it be reported that Trump has tested positive for COVID-19 in 2020?	Binary
15.864	Will EA Global San Francisco be cancelled or rescheduled due to COVID-19?	Binary
15.738	What will the quarter-on-quarter US Q1 2020 GDP growth rate be, according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis Advance Estimate?	Continuous
15.326	When will an efficacious COVID-19 vaccine obtain emergency use authorization in the United States?	Continuous
14.894	How many successful faithless electoral votes will there be in the 2020 election?	Continuous
14.892	How many COVID-2019 cases in South Korea will be confirmed on March the 27th?	Continuous
14.601	[closed] How many human infections of the 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) will be estimated to occur before 2021?	Continuous
13.869	What will (seasonally-adjusted, annualized) unemployment insurance payments be in 2020 Q4?	Continuous
13.667	How many COVID-19 cases in the US federal legislature will be publicly reported before 2021?	Continuous
13.308	When will the second US presidential debate take place?	Continuous
12.859	What will the mean level of transit activity be in San Francisco — Bay Area for the week 2020-11-22 through 2020-11-28?	Continuous
12.235	What will be the total stock of crude oil and other petroleum products for November 2020?	Continuous
12.215	Before 2020-05-17, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?	Binary
12.102	Will Beyond Meat outperform the the general U.S. stock market in 2020?	Binary
11.871	Will Kim Jong-un be officially confirmed dead before May 15 2020?	Binary
11.416	Will Democrats win both halves of Congress + Presidency in the US 2020 Election?	Binary
11.321	LRT 2.3.5: Will total newly weekly reported deaths in the U.S. first fall below 5,000 on or after June 20th?	Binary
11.225	What proportion of House Democratic incumbents will be defeated in the 2020 election?	Continuous
11.208	What will be the US U-6 unemployment rate for May 2020?	Continuous
10.895	How many total confirmed cases of coronavirus will be reported by Johns Hopkin's CSSE on March 2nd, 2020?	Continuous
10.681	Will 538 outperform PredictIt forecasting the 2020 Presidential Elections?	Binary
10.410	How many new cases of COVID-19 in the 4th quarter of 2020?	Continuous
10.052	Will a third-party candidate get more than 5% of the popular vote in the 2020 US Presidential Election?	Binary
9.964	Have we permanently lost contact with ASTERIA?	Binary
9.882	In the 2020 US Presidential election, when will the losing candidate concede?	Continuous
9.841	What will the magnitude of most severe earthquake to strike California in 2020 be?	Continuous
9.525	Will Trumps Rally in Phoenix at the Dream City Church result in a spike of COVID-19 infections?	Binary
9.496	Will the GOP hold the Senate on January 3rd 2021?	Binary
9.239	Will the 2020 Tokyo Olympics be cancelled due to COVID-19?	Binary
8.912	How much transit activity will there be in the San Francisco Bay Area in the last week of September?	Continuous
8.700	Will an Aerospike (finally) Fly?	Binary
8.471	How many Electoral College votes will the Democratic Party nominee win in the 2020 presidential election?	Continuous
8.373	Will any states flip from the current projected winner?	Binary
8.368	In the year 2020, will no gene drive be launched to fight malaria-carrying mosquitoes in any part of the world?	Binary
8.159	CPI-U for October 2020	Continuous
7.932	When will the next justice be confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?	Continuous
7.894	Will Joe Biden be the Democratic Party nominee for president of the United States on election day 2020?	Binary
7.829	Will American Airlines file for bankruptcy protection before 2021?	Binary
7.672	Will a woman be the Democratic candidate for Vice-President of the USA in 2020?	Binary
7.431	Will Boris Johnson recover from COVID-19?	Binary
7.377	Will a RNA SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved for use in the United States or European Union before 2022?	Binary
7.283	How many YouTube views will Despacito have on January 12, 2021?	Continuous
7.179	Will (at least one) magnitude 6.0 or greater earthquake strike California in 2020?	Binary
7.033	LRT 2.3.3: Will total newly reported deaths in the U.S. first fall below 5,000 on the 7-day period ending on May 30th or the 7-day period ending on June 6th?	Binary
6.970	Will President Trump be relieved of his duties under section four of the Twenty-fifth Amendment before election day?	Binary
6.863	Will the US federal government shut down all non-essential services by 2020-04-19?	Binary
6.756	How much transit activity will there be in the San Francisco Bay Area in the last week of July?	Continuous
6.545	Will there be a US-Iran war in 2020?	Binary
6.520	Will Iran deploy no Zafar communications satellite by 2021?	Binary
6.354	Will the CDC issue a Level 3 Travel Health Notice for France by May 1?	Binary
6.280	Total Retail Sales in October 2020	Continuous
6.254	How many more Starship prototypes will be destroyed before one flies?	Continuous
6.209	Will a major network call the election prematurely?	Binary
6.205	Will Israel annex the Jordan Valley in the West Bank by the end of 2020?	Binary
6.174	How many geoengineering-related papers will be published in the year 2020?	Continuous
6.139	Will remdesivir be administered to at least 50,000 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infections in the US, UK, EU member states, and Japan, by the end of 2020?	Binary
6.007	LRT 1.2: As of Saturday May 9, 2020, how many COVID-19 related deaths will have occurred in the US?	Continuous
6.000	How much transit activity will there be in New York City in the last week of September?	Continuous
5.943	Will Keir Starmer win the 2020 Labour leadership contest?	Binary
5.740	How many total confirmed cases of coronavirus will be reported by Johns Hopkins CSSE on February the 17th?	Continuous
5.675	What will the mean level of transit activity be in New York City for the week 2020-10-25 through 2020-10-31?	Continuous
5.506	Will Elon Musk's baby's name, X Æ A - 12, turn out to be his real name?	Binary
5.294	Will the US hold mass-turnout elections for President on schedule in 2020?	Binary
5.273	How much transit activity will there be in the San Francisco Bay Area in the last week of June?	Continuous
5.219	What will Washington state’s Department of Revenue report as the 2020 Q1 gross business income?	Continuous
5.022	Will the Emergency Telework Act (S.3561) become law by 4/25/20?	Binary
4.834	By March 1st, 2021, will Israel and Saudi Arabia announce a peace or normalization agreement?	Binary
4.820	What will be the 5-week average of initial jobless claims filed in October?	Continuous
4.728	Will the #NoFees4Charity campaign succeed?	Binary
4.675	What will the August 2020 US nonfarm payrolls figure be?	Continuous
4.484	Will the Chinese police or military intervene in Hong Kong before Summer 2020?	Binary
4.365	What will the October 2020 US nonfarm payrolls figure be?	Continuous
4.361	In second edition of the Animal Protection Index how many countries will be listed with B or A grades on the indicator for "Formal Recognition of Animal Sentience"?	Continuous
4.343	Will FiveThirtyEight ace the 2020 US presidential electoral map?	Binary
4.220	Will all major 2020 US presidential candidates survive the COVID-19 epidemic?	Binary
4.197	What will the LBMA Gold price be in US dollars on December 31 2020?	Continuous
4.136	Will California have a wildfire among the 10 most destructive in state history in 2020?	Binary
4.111	How much transit activity will there be in the San Francisco Bay Area in the last week of August?	Continuous
4.094	Will the 2020 Eurovision Song Contest be cancelled due to COVID-19?	Binary
4.085	Will New York City close most of its public schools due to COVID-19 before 2021?	Binary
4.029	How much transit activity will there be in New York City in the last week of July?	Continuous
3.978	Will J.K. Rowling’s “The Ickabog” reach #1 on Amazon.co.uk’s bestseller list within a week of its release?	Binary
3.973	On January 1st, 2021, will Americans' opposition to Black Lives Matter be higher than 40%?	Binary
3.964	Will at least 9 of the 12 states hit hardest by COVID-19 in 2020 be states that voted for Trump in 2016?	Binary
3.876	How many paid memberships will Netflix have worldwide on December 31st 2020?	Continuous
3.765	EIA Petroleum Status Report - October 2020	Continuous
3.690	Will 3Blue1Brown begin a new video series in the month of July?	Binary
3.649	Will China Oceanwide Holdings Group Co., Ltd. complete an acquisition of Genworth (GNW) before July 1, 2020?	Binary
3.614	EIA Petroleum Status Report - September 2020	Continuous
3.575	Will facial recognition be banned in at least 3 more U.S. cities in 2020?	Binary
3.486	Will EA Global London 2020 be cancelled or rescheduled due to COVID-19?	Binary
3.460	Will a US civilian intentionally be shot and killed by US military personnel acting in the line of duty on domestic soil before 2021?	Binary
3.422	What will the mean level of transit activity be in Phoenix for the week 2020-10-25 through 2020-10-31?	Continuous
3.392	CPI-U for September 2020	Continuous
3.317	Will Airbnb services be suspended in at least two major metropolitan areas outside of Mainland China due to COVID-19-related concerns before June 27th, 2020?	Binary
3.259	How many initial jobless claims will be filed on average in September 2020?	Continuous
3.201	If he runs, how many votes will Kanye West win in the 2020 US presidential election?	Continuous
3.167	By how many votes will the losing party fall short of winning control of the Senate in the 2020 Senate elections?	Continuous
3.142	Will Edward Snowden receive a federal pardon by January 20th 2021?	Binary
3.013	Will there be a "no-deal" Brexit at the end of 2020?	Binary
2.988	What will be the Industrial Production Index number for November 2020?	Continuous
2.754	Will a TikTok user hit 100m followers by the end of 2020?	Binary
2.743	Will JHU CSSE's COVID-19 dashboard remain open and maintained through 2020-12-31?	Binary
2.517	Will Michael Bloomberg emerge as the leading moderate candidate after Super Tuesday?	Binary
2.513	Will Airbnb's services be suspended in any country due to COVID-19-related concerns before June 27th, 2020?	Binary
2.513	US invades and attempts a regime change in Iran in 2020?	Binary
2.496	LRT 2.3.2: Will total newly reported deaths in the U.S. first fall below 5,000 on the 7-day period ending on May 16th or the 7-day period ending on May 23?	Binary
2.459	Will Trump transfer presidential power to VP Mike Pence under section 3 of the Twenty-fifth Amendment before election day?	Binary
2.426	Will Apple's market cap drop below $1 trillion before 1 February 2021?	Binary
2.358	What will US dining activity be in September 2020?	Continuous
2.314	LRT 2.3.1: Will total newly reported deaths in the U.S. first fall below 5,000 on the 7-day period ending on May 2nd or the 7-day period ending on May 9th?	Binary
2.285	[Short Fuse] Will Amy Coney Barrett be confirmed to the Supreme Court before election day 2020?	Binary
2.279	In the 2020 US presidential election, will Kanye West win more votes in any state than the difference between the first and second place finishers in that state?	Binary
2.272	Will Art Basel occur on September 17 to September 20 2020	Binary
2.135	Will there be deadly conflict in the South China Sea in 2020?	Binary
2.052	What will the mean level of transit activity be in Phoenix for the week 2020-11-22 through 2020-11-28?	Continuous
2.003	Will the Democratic candidate for the 2020 US presidential election be chosen at the Democratic National Convention after only one round of voting?	Binary
1.959	What will be the difference in July 2020 performance between the HFR Women Index and the HFR 500 Fund-Weighted Composite Index?	Continuous
1.931	Will at least 10,000 COVID-19 deaths be reported in any single calendar month in 2020?	Binary
1.929	What will the mean level of transit activity be in San Francisco — Bay Area for the week 2020-10-25 through 2020-10-31?	Continuous
1.886	If president Trump loses the 2020 election, will he concede?	Binary
1.878	How much transit activity will there be in New York City in the last week of August?	Continuous
1.793	LRT 2.4: What will the average number of new daily confirmed cases be, over the period from 10th, till May 16th, in the state of Georgia?	Continuous
1.711	Will the median prediction on this question fall in range [1-48]% OR [95-99]%?	Binary
1.702	How many predictions will have been made on Metaculus by the following dates? (December 18, 2020)	Continuous
1.699	Will Francisco Partners / Evergreen complete its acquisition of LogMeIn (LOGM) before June 01, 2020?	Binary
1.540	Will China fail to curtail its internment camps programs for Uyghurs and Muslims in 2020?	Binary
1.512	How many (cumulative) total confirmed cases of COVID-2019 will be reported in the United Kingdom on April the 27th?	Continuous
1.425	If Trump loses the election, will he contest the results?	Binary
1.401	Will California Senate Bill 902 be chaptered in the 2020 legislative session?	Binary
1.398	Industrial Production Index in September 2020	Continuous
1.369	What percentage of US voters will support the Black Lives Matter movement on election day 2020?	Continuous
1.304	For how many countries will the CDC issue a Level 3 Travel Health Notice by May 15, due to the novel coronavirus?	Continuous
1.233	Will at least 100,000 COVID-19 deaths be reported in any single calendar month in 2020?	Binary
1.230	Will any state send multiple certificates of electors following the 2020 election?	Binary
1.215	What proportion of House Republican incumbents will be defeated in the 2020 election?	Continuous
0.964	If the U.S. sees at least 50,000 COVID-19 cases before November 2020, will Trump be reelected president in 2020?	Binary
0.921	Will New York State's 14 day moving average of daily cases rise above 3000 again by the end of 2020?	Binary
0.897	What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in November?	Continuous
0.854	[Short fuse] Will Michael Bloomberg drop out before the March 13th?	Binary
0.851	Will UK schools close before the Christmas Holiday?	Binary
0.740	Will California pass Proposition 22 to classify app-based drivers as independent contractors?	Binary
0.723	What will the US Q3 2020 GDP growth rate be according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis Advance Estimate?	Continuous
0.721	Will the 25th amendment of the US constitution be invoked before November 3rd?	Binary
0.699	Will the “unknown pneumonia” outbreak in Kazakhstan turn out to be caused by a pathogen other than Covid-19?	Binary
0.676	What will Tesla's net income be in Q3 2020?	Continuous
0.631	What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U % change from October (less energy and food) in November 2020?	Continuous
0.566	Will California Assembly Bill 3155 be chaptered in the 2020 legislative session?	Binary
0.557	What will the April 2020 US nonfarm payrolls figure be?	Continuous
0.542	How many consumer electric vehicles will Tesla sell (units delivered) in 2020?	Continuous
0.538	How many total games will be played in the MLB 2020-2021 regular season?	Continuous
0.444	Will the first post from Instagram’s official account @instagram after this question closes be a photograph or video of an instagram user?	Binary
0.343	What will the total retail sales including food services be for November 2020?	Continuous
0.330	How long will it take to listen to every episode of the 80,000 Hours Podcast released in 2020?	Continuous
0.323	[Short Fuse] Will Gladys Berejiklian cease to be Premier of NSW by 1 December 2020?	Binary
0.260	On May 1st, what percentage of Americans will be "very worried" about the coronavirus’s effect on the U.S. economy?	Continuous
0.245	How much transit activity will there be in New York City in the last week of June?	Continuous
0.234	On May 1st, what percentage of Americans will be "very worried" that they, someone in their family or someone else they know will become infected with the coronavirus?	Continuous
0.202	Will Amazon ($AMZN) make a public offer to acquire FedEx ($FDX) by June 30, 2020?	Binary
0.121	How many structures will be destroyed by wildfires in California in 2020?	Continuous
0.117	What will be the minimum credence Metaculites will give Trump's re-election chances in 2020?	Continuous
0.105	Will proposition 16 be passed in the 2020 California election?	Binary
0.101	What will be the popular vote difference in 2020 between the Republican candidate and the highest polling alternative candidate?	Continuous
0.080	What will the top GPU score be on Passmark on January 1st 2021?	Continuous
0.070	[Short Fuse] Will the Three Gorges Dam experience a partial failure before the end of September?	Binary
0.052	If Trump loses the election in 2020, will he maintain that he is still the president on January 21st 2021?	Binary
0.051	What will the top Android phone score be on Passmark on January 1st 2021? [12k - 24k range]	Continuous
0.048	What will the top CPU score be on Passmark on January 1st 2021?	Continuous
0.025	What proportion of 2020 U.S. House of Representatives elections without a running incumbent will be won by Republicans?	Continuous
0.018	Will Wayne Hsiung be elected mayor of Berkeley in 2020?	Binary
0.015	How many posts will there be on the Effective Altruism Forum in 2020?	Continuous
0.015	Will the Democrats hold the US House of Representatives in the 2020 Election?	Binary
-0.001	Will proposition 21 be passed in the 2020 California election?	Binary
-0.046	Will the Coup-o-meter enter "Attempted Coup" or "Coup" territory by February 1st 2021?	Binary
-0.066	How many active Airbnb listings will there be in London on the 1st of April of 2020?	Continuous
-0.102	How much karma will the top LessWrong post in 2020 have?	Continuous
-0.105	What will Virtu's Q3 2020 trading income be?	Continuous
-0.240	Will the US ban TikTok by the end of the year?	Binary
-0.326	How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO South-East Asia Region by March 27?	Continuous
-0.386	Will the next winner of the Booker Prize be female?	Binary
-0.888	Industrial Production Index in October 2020	Continuous
-0.923	What proportion of Senate Democratic incumbents will be defeated in the 2020 election?	Continuous
-1.091	How many scientific journals will use Registered Reports at the end of 2020?	Continuous
-1.129	Will a vaccine targeted at the 2019 novel coronavirus (Covid-19) be administered to at least 10,000 people in 2020?	Binary
-1.340	Will more than five of the ten highest grossing films in 2020 pass the Bechdel test?	Binary
-1.368	Total Retail Sales in September 2020	Continuous
-1.425	Will the PredictIt prediction market outperform Fivethirtyeight's forecasts for the 2020 Super Tuesday Democratic primaries?	Binary
-1.477	How many cumulative confirmed cases of coronavirus in San Francisco will be reported by Johns Hopkins CSSE on April 1st, 2020?	Continuous
-1.561	[short fuse] Will an opposition party win a new GRC in Singapore’s 2020 general election?	Binary
-1.976	How many total confirmed cases of coronavirus will be reported by Johns Hopkin's CSSE on February 3rd?	Continuous
-2.430	How many new cases of COVID-19 in the 2nd quarter of 2020?	Continuous
-2.954	Will the border conflict between India and China escalate to a deadly clash involving gunfire or explosives before 2021?	Binary
-3.183	Will North Korea launch an intercontinental ballistic missile in 2020?	Binary
-3.902	What will the Brent Crude oil closing price be on December 31 2020?	Continuous
-4.083	Will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate that has demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT be administered to 10M people by March 1st 2021?	Binary
-5.211	How many ratings will Toby Ord's book The Precipice have on Amazon on January 1st 2021?	Continuous
-5.652	Will early 2020 AI solve at least 20% of previously unseen IQ-test like tasks?	Binary
-5.814	Will any city or town in the US be put under mandated lockdown by the end of 2020 due to the novel coronavirus outbreak?	Binary
-6.432	Will the average world temperature in 2020 be higher than in 2019?	Binary
-6.477	How many active Airbnb listings will there be in Paris on the 1st of April of 2020?	Continuous
-7.745	How many new cases of COVID-19 in the 3rd quarter of 2020?	Continuous
-7.957	Will Punxsutawney Phil's prediction of an early spring come true in 2020?	Binary
-8.358	How many COVID-19 cases in the Netherlands will be confirmed on April the 27th?	Continuous
-8.418	How many active Airbnb listings will there be in Beijing on the 1st of April of 2020?	Continuous
-9.725	Will Prediction Markets judge the Democratic primary to be settled after Super Tuesday?	Binary
-9.819	What will be the peak unemployment rate in the United States for calendar year 2020?	Continuous
-9.997	LRT 2.3.4: Will total newly reported deaths in the U.S. first fall below 5,000 on the 7-day period ending on June 13th or the 7-day period ending on June 20th?	Binary
-10.112	How much higher will the annual mean surface air temperature be in 2020, relative to the 1951-1980 base period?	Continuous
-12.015	What will the mean level of transit activity be in New York City for the week 2020-11-22 through 2020-11-28?	Continuous
-12.113	How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO East Mediterranean region by March 27?	Continuous
-12.131	Will Netanyahu remain Israeli's Prime Minister till the end of 2020?	Binary
-13.000	LRT 1.3: As of Saturday May 9, 2020, how many COVID-19 related deaths will have occurred in Illinois?	Continuous
-14.362	How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO Western Pacific Region, outside of China and Taiwan, by March 27?	Continuous
-15.356	How many months of 2020 will be declared "earth's warmest on record" by NOAA?	Continuous
-15.649	What percent of ballots casting votes on Oregon's Psilocybin Program Initiative will vote in favor?	Continuous
-16.201	Will Harvard University open classes on September 2, 2020?	Binary
-23.313	What will the May 2020 US nonfarm payrolls figure be?	Continuous
-25.653	How many US state governors, members of the Supreme Court, and members of Congress will die from COVID-19 in 2020?	Continuous
-25.845	Will Whole Woman's Health be overturned in 2020?	Binary
-41.350	What will be the 5-week average of initial jobless claims filed in December?	Continuous
-46.140	Which month of 2020 will see the biggest global increase of COVID-19 cases?	Continuous
-54.832	When will the total international (outside mainland China) cases of COVID-19 exceed the total cases within mainland China?	Continuous
-55.748	What will be the doubling time of COVID-19 cases during the peak growth period in 2020?	Continuous
-56.369	Will a major US website crash due to internet traffic in April?	Binary
-60.466	LRT 1.4: As of Saturday May 9, 2020, how many COVID-19 related deaths will have occurred in Louisiana?	Continuous
-66.910	Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump concede in the 2020 US presidential elections by November 17th?	Binary
-127.152	Will global carbon emissions in 2020 be higher than they were in 2019?	Binary