Question
If the U.S. sees at least 50,000 COVID-19 cases before November 2020, will Trump be reelected president in 2020?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters93
Community Prediction
45%
(40% - 50%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Peer Score
1.6
Authors:
Opened:Feb 27, 2020
Closes:Mar 30, 2020
Resolves:Nov 7, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 28, 2020
Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?
5%
Will "Change in Average Inflation Rate" correctly predict the popular vote winner in the 2028 US presidential election?
Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?
16%
Authors:
Opened:Feb 27, 2020
Closes:Mar 30, 2020
Resolves:Nov 7, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 28, 2020
Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?
5%
Will "Change in Average Inflation Rate" correctly predict the popular vote winner in the 2028 US presidential election?
Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?
16%