89.856 | Will Russian troops enter Odessa, Ukraine before December 31, 2022? | Binary |
84.943 | Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2022? | Binary |
82.085 | Will one half of currently threatened Ukrainian cities be under Russian military control by June 2022? | Binary |
76.171 | Will Russia control Kharkiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
72.452 | Will Russia control Chernihiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
65.943 | Will Kyiv fall to Russian forces by April 2022? | Binary |
54.201 | Will Russian troops enter Lviv, Ukraine before December 31, 2022? | Binary |
46.947 | What will be the approval rating of Vladimir Putin in December 2022? | Continuous |
40.852 | Will more than 50,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
40.621 | Will Brent Crude Oil top $140/barrel before May 2022? | Binary |
39.002 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Jun 26, 2022) | Continuous |
36.884 | How many US troops will be in Europe on June 30, 2022? | Continuous |
33.625 | Will Russia control Kyiv on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
33.290 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine by 2023? | Binary |
31.545 | Will critical US infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023? | Binary |
28.428 | Will critical EU or UK infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023? | Binary |
27.057 | Will Russia control Cherkasy on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
26.084 | What will total NATO defense spending be in 2022? | Continuous |
25.971 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (May 29, 2022) | Continuous |
23.497 | Will Russia substantially restrict emigration by April 1, 2022? | Binary |
23.224 | Will Kyiv be under Russian control before 2023? | Binary |
23.096 | Will the New York Times place Wordle (or any currently existing part of Wordle) behind a paywall during 2022? | Binary |
22.621 | Will the British pound trade below $1 before 2023? | Binary |
22.202 | How many border crossings leaving Ukraine will there be in 2022? | Continuous |
20.589 | Will cumulative reported deaths from Covid-19 in China exceed 50,000 before 2023? | Binary |
20.487 | Who will Twitter unban before 2023? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
19.783 | Will Carrick Flynn win the Democratic primary for Oregon's 6th congressional district? | Binary |
18.756 | Will more than 10,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
18.578 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Spain) | Binary |
17.870 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Jun 26, 2022) | Continuous |
17.396 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Rishi Sunak) | Binary |
17.381 | Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022? | Binary |
16.846 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Liz Truss) | Binary |
16.687 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet to discuss the peaceful resolution of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict before 2023? | Binary |
15.090 | Will Tether collapse before 2023? | Binary |
14.718 | How many people in Russia will be arrested for participating in anti-war protests before 2023? | Continuous |
14.695 | Will Carrick Flynn win the general election for Oregon's 6th congressional district? | Binary |
13.711 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (England) | Binary |
12.692 | Will CAIDA measure a major disruption of the Ukrainian internet for 24 hours before August 2022? | Binary |
12.469 | If Russia vetoes the UN Security Council vote to condemn the invasion of Ukraine, will the UN General Assembly override the veto? | Binary |
12.451 | Will Mariupol be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
12.369 | How many refugees will leave Ukraine by July 1, 2022? | Continuous |
12.206 | Will Éric Zemmour win the French presidential election in 2022? | Binary |
12.041 | Will Ukraine join the Union State before 2023? | Binary |
11.925 | Will Russia formally declare war with Ukraine before August 1, 2022? | Binary |
11.862 | Will Russia withdraw from the New START arms control treaty before January 1, 2023? | Binary |
11.712 | Will more than 25,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022? | Binary |
11.460 | Will Russia invade any country other than Ukraine in 2022? | Binary |
10.260 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Aug 21, 2022) | Continuous |
10.008 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Mariupol on January 1, 2023? | Binary |
9.459 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (Jul 24, 2022) | Continuous |
9.096 | Will Éric Zemmour be in the 2nd round of the 2022 French presidential election? | Binary |
9.027 | Will Belarus invade Ukraine before June 1, 2022? | Binary |
8.974 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (France) | Binary |
8.567 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Germany) | Binary |
7.368 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Penny Mordaunt) | Binary |
7.010 | Will Sumy be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
6.853 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay) | Binary |
6.788 | Will Russia officially declare war on Ukraine or announce its intent to do so by May 9, 2022? | Binary |
6.485 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Aug 21, 2022) | Continuous |
6.448 | Will Russia annex Transnistria in 2022? | Binary |
6.435 | Will EA Global London 2022 be cancelled, rescheduled, or moved online again? | Binary |
6.055 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda) | Binary |
6.039 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Brazil) | Binary |
6.002 | Will Russia recognize Transnistria as a sovereign country by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
5.715 | Will Russia control Vinnytsia on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
5.600 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Wales) | Binary |
5.573 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Netherlands) | Binary |
5.293 | Will NATO declare a No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine before 2023? | Binary |
5.269 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Fabiano Caruana) | Binary |
5.189 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (Jul 24, 2022) | Continuous |
5.164 | Will Peloton file for bankruptcy protection before 2023? | Binary |
4.775 | Will Odessa be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
4.654 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? | Binary |
4.459 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Mexico) | Binary |
4.142 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by March 31, 2022? | Binary |
4.092 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Belgium) | Binary |
4.013 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Boris Johnson) | Binary |
3.842 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Switzerland) | Binary |
3.795 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Croatia) | Binary |
3.592 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2022? | Binary |
3.584 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Jeremy Hunt) | Binary |
3.572 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Argentina) | Binary |
3.559 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Ben Wallace) | Binary |
3.421 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Richárd Rapport) | Binary |
3.399 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Japan) | Binary |
3.377 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (May 29, 2022) | Continuous |
3.376 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (United States of America) | Binary |
3.356 | Will Sweden's government initiate the process of joining NATO in 2022? | Binary |
3.224 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Teimour Radjabov) | Binary |
3.132 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ghana) | Binary |
3.101 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Morocco) | Binary |
3.004 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report each month for Russia in 2022? (May 1, 2022) | Continuous |
2.994 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
2.942 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Charles Leclerc) | Binary |
2.921 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Australia) | Binary |
2.915 | Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022? | Binary |
2.866 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Canada) | Binary |
2.861 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Poland) | Binary |
2.671 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Portugal) | Binary |
2.635 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Senegal) | Binary |
2.527 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Nadhim Zahawi) | Binary |
2.445 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (South Korea) | Binary |
2.408 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Ecuador) | Binary |
2.407 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Kemi Badenoch) | Binary |
2.392 | Will any NATO country invoke Article 5 by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
2.375 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Denmark) | Binary |
2.364 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Tom Tugendhat) | Binary |
2.250 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Max Verstappen) | Binary |
2.223 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Priti Patel) | Binary |
2.206 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Michael Gove) | Binary |
2.078 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Qatar) | Binary |
1.881 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Serbia) | Binary |
1.862 | Will Elon Musk acquire over 50% of Twitter by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
1.745 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Lewis Hamilton) | Binary |
1.639 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Costa Rica) | Binary |
1.597 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Sajid Javid) | Binary |
1.494 | Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection in 2022? | Binary |
1.446 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Steve Baker) | Binary |
1.430 | Will Princeton cancel in person classes in January 2022? | Binary |
1.393 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Dominic Raab) | Binary |
1.339 | Will Raphael Warnock be re-elected in the 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia? | Binary |
1.211 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Tunisia) | Binary |
1.158 | If Russia invades Ukraine, will the United States cut Russian banks off from the SWIFT system by 2023? | Binary |
1.113 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Iran) | Binary |
0.984 | Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election? (Suella Braverman) | Binary |
0.964 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
0.616 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (George Russell) | Binary |
0.488 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Carlos Sainz) | Binary |
0.477 | Who will win the 2022 Formula One World Driver's Championship? (Sergio Perez) | Binary |
0.302 | Who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup? (Cameroon) | Binary |
0.043 | Will Russian troops enter Mariupol, Ukraine by December 31, 2022? | Binary |
-0.206 | Will the US sanction Russian oil or gas before 2023? | Binary |
-0.682 | Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan in 2022? | Binary |
-1.065 | Will Russia default on its debt in 2022? | Binary |
-1.683 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Ding Liren) | Binary |
-2.083 | How much military equipment losses will Oryx report for Ukraine each month in 2022? (May 1, 2022) | Continuous |
-4.266 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Alireza Firouzja) | Binary |
-4.762 | How many civilian casualties of the Russo-Ukrainian War will there be before May 2022? | Continuous |
-5.551 | Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023? | Binary |
-6.192 | Will the Metaculus question about Russian troops in Kyiv in 2022 resolve ambiguously? | Binary |
-17.594 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be named Time Person of the Year in 2022? | Binary |
-26.488 | [Short Fuse] How much money will be awarded to Johnny Depp in his defamation suit against his ex-wife Amber Heard? | Continuous |
-29.280 | Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament in Chess? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
-36.124 | Will any of the ongoing BioNTech mRNA cancer vaccine trials proceed to Phase III trials in 2022? | Binary |
-37.745 | Will more than 20,000 people die within 28 days of a positive Covid test in the UK in 2022? | Binary |