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- July 28, 2020
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Forecaster Stats
Level
18 (Time Lord)
Predictions
2747 predictions on 821 questions (372 resolved)
Comments
224 comments on 91 questions
Rank
41st
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
1832 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Effective Altruism (33)
- Social issues – Charities (18)
- Future EA Resources (17)
- Politics – US (4)
- Computing – Artificial Intelligence (4)
Popular Questions
- Will cumulative reported deaths from Covid-19 in China exceed 50,000 before 2023? (409 forecasts)
- Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025? (334 forecasts)
- Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026? (289 forecasts)
- If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations? (226 forecasts)
- Will there be a 50% decline in global meat production by 2040? (197 forecasts)