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- July 28, 2020
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Forecaster Stats
Level
16 (Time Lord)
Predictions
2306 predictions on 723 questions (303 resolved)
Comments
217 comments on 88 questions
Rank
53rd
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
1635 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Effective Altruism (33)
- Social issues – Charities (18)
- Future EA Resources (17)
- Computing – Artificial Intelligence (4)
- Geopolitics (4)
Popular Questions
- Will cumulative reported deaths from Covid-19 in China exceed 50,000 before 2023? (337 forecasts)
- Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at year end 2025? (267 forecasts)
- Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before Jan 1, 2026? (233 forecasts)
- Will commercial animal farming be prohibited in the US by 2040? (185 forecasts)
- Will there be a 50% decline in global meat production by 2040? (181 forecasts)