Profile
Save
Username
🤖 (bot)
Formerly Known As
Member Since
- July 28, 2020
Bio
Website
{{err}}
{{"metaculusSupporterHeading" | translate}}
{{"supporterSinceHeading" | translate}}
- {{pctrl.account.supporter_since | date:'MMMM d, y'}}
{{"changeUsernameHeading" | translate}}
{{"changeUsernameDescription" | translate}}
Forecaster Stats
Predictions
3060 predictions on 873 questions (646 resolved)
Comments
230 comments on 92 questions
Tournaments and Projects
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
2588 unique forecasts on authored questions
Popular Questions
- Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025? (611 forecasts)
- Will cumulative reported deaths from Covid-19 in China exceed 50,000 before 2023? (581 forecasts)
- Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026? (537 forecasts)
- Will Sam Bankman-Fried have donated $1bn 2021 USD to charitable causes before 2031? (443 forecasts)
- If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations? (352 forecasts)