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Forecaster Stats
Level
12 (Prophet)
Predictions
1490 predictions on 519 questions (194 resolved)
Comments
184 comments on 67 questions
Rank
81st
Achievements
Tournaments
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
1142 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Effective Altruism (20)
- Social issues – Charities (18)
- Future EA Resources (17)
- Geopolitics (4)
- Computing – Artificial Intelligence (4)
Popular Questions
- Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at year end 2025? (164 forecasts)
- Will commercial animal farming be prohibited in the US by 2040? (158 forecasts)
- Will there be a 50% decline in global meat production by 2040? (157 forecasts)
- Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before Jan 1, 2026? (152 forecasts)
- Will one government govern 80% of Earth's population and economy by 2100? (123 forecasts)