| 40.013 | Will Taylor Swift release a new album in 2021? | Binary |
| 38.857 | Will more than 4,500 rockets, mortars, and missiles be fired from Palestine at Israel in 2021? | Binary |
| 23.246 | Will the US experience a 4th wave of COVID before June 1, 2021? | Binary |
| 22.937 | Will there be a renewal of intense fighting in the Donbass this summer? | Binary |
| 21.327 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2022? | Binary |
| 20.334 | By 31 December 2021 will any hospital in the US have an official policy to triage COVID patients based on vaccination status? | Binary |
| 17.624 | Will vaccinated American citizens be allowed to enter Canada for discretionary travel by June 1st, 2021? | Binary |
| 16.310 | Will Derek Chauvin be convicted of homicide by June 1 2021? | Binary |
| 15.038 | Will the UK have a 7 day rolling average above 2,000 covid deaths before June? | Binary |
| 14.041 | Will YouTube be blocked in Russia in 2021? | Binary |
| 13.970 | By 2021-11-01 will the US FDA approve a COVID-19 vaccine for children aged 5-11? | Binary |
| 10.495 | Will President Trump be relieved of his duties under section four of the Twenty-fifth Amendment before inauguration day? | Binary |
| 8.914 | On 2021-12-31, will the FiveThirtyEight average proportion of those polled who approve of Biden's presidency exceed 50.0%? | Binary |
| 8.854 | Will the UK's third wave of COVID-19 exceed 250 deaths/day? | Binary |
| 8.399 | Will Russia annex Ukrainian territory before 2022? | Binary |
| 7.193 | Will the US have more than 1000 daily COVID-19 deaths (7-day rolling average) before 1 January 2022? | Binary |
| 7.067 | Will at least 2 US diplomats die or be captured in the evacuation of Kabul? | Binary |
| 6.646 | Will the CDU continue to govern Germany after the 2021 elections? | Binary |
| 4.968 | Will a vacancy on the Supreme Court of the United States arise in 2021? | Binary |
| 4.950 | Will India's GDP grow in all first three quarters of 2021? | Binary |
| 4.898 | Will Israel and Saudi Arabia establish official diplomatic relations in 2021? | Binary |
| 4.468 | Will US poverty be higher in November 2021 than it was in November 2020? | Binary |
| 4.394 | By 1 November 2021 will the US Senate pass a bill extending the Child Tax Credit? | Binary |
| 3.791 | Will Blizzard announce new content for StarCraft as a response to advances in AI in 2021? | Binary |
| 3.264 | Will an Australian Federal Election be held in 2021? | Binary |
| 2.985 | Will the US unemployment rate stay above 5% through November 2021? | Binary |
| 2.429 | Will San Francisco issue a health order banning all restaurant indoor dining anytime between 2021-07-01 and 2021-12-31? | Binary |
| 2.062 | Will the Supreme Court grant a writ of certiorari to a case challenging the male-only draft as unconstitutional on the grounds of sex-discrimination by the end of 2021? | Binary |
| 1.932 | Will at least 5 Republican Congresspeople join another party before 2022? | Binary |
| 1.652 | When will the U.S. CDC recommend that at least some fully vaccinated Americans receive a booster dose? | Continuous |
| 1.467 | Will United States military troops be in Afghanistan on 2021-10-7? | Binary |
| 1.295 | Will the PlayStation 5 sell more units than the Nintendo Switch in 2021? | Binary |
| 0.427 | Will UK festival Shambala take place in August 2021? | Binary |
| -0.091 | Will the United States House of Representatives expel, censure, and/or reprimand a House Member before September 3, 2022? | Binary |
| -0.418 | Will EA Global London 2021 be cancelled, rescheduled, or moved online again? | Binary |
| -0.561 | Will a new statewide indoor mask mandate for schools be declared in Virginia before 1 October 2021? | Binary |
| -0.999 | On 2021-12-31, will the FiveThirtyEight average of polls indicate that Joe Biden has a higher approval than disapproval rating? | Binary |
| -1.088 | Will Sweden have an extra election before 2022? | Binary |
| -1.832 | Will most of the Quad/Five Eyes countries boycott the 2022 Winter Olympics? | Binary |
| -2.453 | [short fuse] Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LV? | Binary |
| -3.844 | Will NASA issue a second fully-funded award for its Human Landing System contract before 2022? | Binary |
| -4.813 | Will Andrew M. Cuomo still be governor of New York on 31 December 2021? | Binary |
| -5.416 | Will a new State of Emergency in response to COVID be declared in Virginia before 1 October 2021? | Binary |
| -5.687 | Will this question be mentioned in an Astral Codex Ten Post in 2021? | Binary |
| -8.590 | Will Taipei enter Level 4 restrictions by May 31st? | Binary |
| -8.719 | Will the UK experience a third wave of the coronavirus pandemic in 2021? | Binary |
| -9.236 | Will the US have more than 200,000 daily COVID-19 cases (7-day average) before January 1, 2022? | Binary |
| -10.092 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2021 California recall election? | Binary |
| -14.432 | Will there be an episode of The Simpsons with an IMDb rating ≥ 8/10 before 2022? | Binary |