Today, Metaculus launches the cybersecurity-focused White Hat Cyber Forecasting Tournament in partnership with the public policy research organization [R Street Institute](https://www.metaculus.com/organization/r-street-institute/) and [Red Branch Law and Consulting](https://www.metaculus.com/organization/red-branch/). This forecasting initiative will support practitioners and policymakers as they make critical decisions on cybersecurity policy. It will also advance important research meant to identify what kinds of forecasts provide the most actionable, decision-relevant signals to stakeholders. 

$2,500 in prizes will be awarded to the top forecasters on questions like: 

* [Will the “Rewards for Justice” program publicly announce that it has paid the $10M reward offered for information on Iranian hackers indicted for interfering with the 2020 presidential election?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10105/rewards-for-justice-to-pay-10m-prize/)
* [Will a cyber action or series of cyber actions trigger NATO’s Article 5 in 2022?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10110/cyberattack-to-trigger-natos-art-5-in-22/)
* [What percentage of ransomware victims whose data was encrypted will report paying a ransom?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10141/-ransomware-victims-that-pay-ransom/)
* [How many ransomware attacks against U.S. educational institutions will be reported in 2022?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/10135/ransomware-attacks-against-us-schools-in-22/)
 
Said Red Branch founder Paul Rosenzweig, “We can’t do cybersecurity well until we have a better handle on what to expect. This initiative is a grand experiment to test whether the wisdom of the crowds can help us make better judgments about what lies ahead.”
Start forecasting in this tournament [today](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/white-hat/) and help expand forecasting to a new high-stakes domain.