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- April 13, 2017
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Forecaster Stats
Level
∞ (Admin)
Predictions
674 predictions on 499 questions (300 resolved)
Comments
171 comments on 109 questions
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
- Metaculus Journal
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
- Global Trends 2022
- AI Progress Essay Contest
- FluSight Challenge 2021/22
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Cultured Meat Tournament
- Forecasting AI Progress
- Monkeypox (mpox)
- Autocrat Public Figures Series
- Biosecurity Tournament
- Improve the News
- Economist 2021
- Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
- Climate Tipping Points
- Transparent Replications
- Forecasting Our World in Data
- FluSight Challenge 2022/23
- Red Lines in Ukraine
- 🔰 2022Q4 Beginner Tournament 🔰
- 🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
- ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
- Economic Indicators
- 🤖 LLM Milestones 🤖
- 🔰 Beginner Tournament 🔰
- Keep Virginia Safe II
Causes and Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
2947 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Series – Future Perfect 2019 (6)
- Physical Sciences – Astrophysics and Cosmology (3)
- Geopolitics – terrorism (3)
- Biology – Medicine – Clinical Trials (3)
- Series – Qualia Research Institute (3)
Popular Questions
- Will Russia control Kyiv on June 1, 2022? (2920 forecasts)
- Qualia Research Institute Question Series: Will Psilocybin be a clinically approved treatment for end-of-life anxiety by 2027? (361 forecasts)
- Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q1 - The United Kingdom will leave the European Union in 2019? (305 forecasts)
- What percent of the global population will identify as "religiously unaffiliated" in 2050? (228 forecasts)
- Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q6 - Impossible Burger meat will be sold in at least one national grocery chain by end of 2019 (227 forecasts)