🔬Aug 29—Transparent Replications: New Study
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[Clearer Thinking](https://replications.clearerthinking.org/) is running another replication of a high-impact journal study, and you're invited to forecast how many claims will replicate. What makes an object sacred? A 2022 [paper](https://www.researchgate.net/publication/361913875_Collective_transcendence_beliefs_shape_the_sacredness_of_objects_The_case_of_art) in the Journal of Personality and Social Psychology called 'Collective transcendence beliefs shape the sacredness of objects: The case of art' wrestles with this profound question. You can contribute to the robustness of social science research by sharing your forecasts on how many of the below findings the Clearer Thinking team will reproduce. Start predicting [here](https://metaculus.com/questions/18323/collective-transcendence-study-replication/).  ### June 1st, 2023 Update [Clearer Thinking](https://replications.clearerthinking.org/) has released their 4th Transparent Replications report, featuring Metaculus forecasts. [Read the report here](https://replications.clearerthinking.org/replication-2020science370-6517/). They're also running another replications of a psychology study, and you can forecast the results! This study, published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), found that: >in-person social portfolio diversity predicts higher well-being, even when controlling for the proportion of episodes in the day that included in-person social interaction.  Forecast whether the main finding will replicate [here](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/17293/). https://www.metaculus.com/questions/17293/ Your forecasts help support reproducibility in science. [Learn more](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/transparent-replications/). ### October 3rd, 2022 Update [Clearer Thinking](https://replications.clearerthinking.org/) is running two more replications of psychology studies in high-impact journals. How many claims will they replicate from this 2020 Science paper? > ### [Behavioral nudges reduce failure to appear for court](https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abb6591) * [Study 3](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/15861/replication-nudges-for-court-study-3/) * [Study 4](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/15870/replication-nudges-for-court-study-4/) ### Announcing the Transparent Replications Project [Originally posted October 3rd, 2022] [Clearer Thinking](https://www.clearerthinking.org/) has launched [Transparent Replications](https://www.metaculus.com/project/1774/), a project supporting greater reproducibility in psychological science by performing replications of new studies from prestigious journals and forecasting the results. Learn more and start forecasting which research will replicate [here](https://www.metaculus.com/project/1774/). Your predictions will contribute to a greater understanding of forecasting's role in identifying candidate studies for replication efforts. Two studies are currently open for forecasting, and more will be added periodically: <br /> > #### [Knowledge About Others Reduces One’s Own Sense of Anonymity](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/12223/replication-knowledge-and-sense-of-anonymity/) When participants learned more about a stranger, they felt the stranger knew them better too and would be better able to detect when they lied. <br /><br /> > #### [Counterfeit Diversity: How Strategically Misrepresenting Gender Diversity Dampens Organizations’ Perceived Sincerity and Elevates Women’s Identity Threat Concern](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/12693/replication-counterfeit-diversity/) Researchers varied the male:female staff ratio of a hypothetical tech company to assess [stereotype threat](https://diversity.nih.gov/sociocultural-factors/stereotype-threat#:~:text=Stereotype%20threat%20is%20defined%20as,Steele%20%26%20Aronson%2C%201995) and other participant reactions to imagining working there. <br /> We invite you to forecast on this project, and we thank you for contributing to reliable, reproducible scientific research!