We’re holding another virtual meetup (last held in [October of 2022](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/12602/october-2022-virtual-metaculus-meetup-10-02/)). This is an opportunity to chat with your fellow Metaculites and available Metaculus Staff about anything on your mind related to forecasting. Interesting questions on the site, rationales for your forecasts, questions for Admins, questions you want to see on the site, or anything else.

We'll meet sometime on Saturday / Sunday November 19 - 20; take a moment to pick some times on [when2meet](https://www.when2meet.com/?17685815-XnEJi) that are available for you.

I'll announce a time by the end of Tuesday, and this month we'll try using our [Discord server](https://discord.gg/GX9nbRdA).  It will be hosted by me ([@casens](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/104161/)), and other staff if they are available.

***EDIT: We'll be meeting at 16:00 UTC on Sunday, November 20!***

For fun, see if you can predict [how many people will attend](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/12559/metaculus-meetup-peak-attendees/).

We hope to see you there!

##In Case You Missed It

We're hosting an [online hackathon](https://metaculus.medium.com/announcing-metaculuss-million-predictions-hackathon-91c2dfa3f39) to celebrate reaching 1 million predictions across 7,000 different questions!  We're inviting forecasters, data scientists, economists and engineers to analyze our rich dataset of forecasts, and we're offering a $10,000 prize pool for the best projects from the event.  If you're available from December 3, to December 11, you're welcome to [apply](https://metaculus.medium.com/announcing-metaculuss-million-predictions-hackathon-91c2dfa3f39)!

We launched two new tournaments in October, the [Forecasting Our World in Data](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/forecasting-Our-World-in-Data/) tournament and the [FluSight Challenge 22/23](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/flusight-challenge22-23/) tournament. Join both tournaments for a chance to win a share of the prize pools ($20,000 and $5,000, respectively) and check out the tournament pages for more information about them.

As part of the *Forecasting Our World in Data* tournament we also [announced](https://twitter.com/metaculus/status/1585663021560594433) a cooperative effort with [Good Judgment Inc](https://goodjudgment.com/) to compare results and methodologies across a set of 10 shared questions asked of Superforecasters, in the Metaculus public tournament, and the Metaculus Pro Forecasting project.

In addition to the tournaments, we launched the [Red Lines in Ukraine](https://www.metaculus.com/project/red-lines/) project. This project features a series of questions posed by [Peter Scoblic](https://www.newamerica.org/our-people/j-peter-scoblic/), a senior fellow with the International Security Program at New America. The questions are designed to assess the potential actions that could impact the odds of Russian nuclear use.

A [preprint posted on October 13, 2022](https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.10.12.22280997v1), evaluates the performance and insights gleaned from the [Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/realtimepandemic/). This tournament ran during the midst of the [Omicron BA.1](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SARS-CoV-2_Omicron_variant) wave, and a [News Medical article](https://www.news-medical.net/news/20221018/Study-reviews-human-judgment-ensemble-during-Omicron-BA1-wave-in-the-USA.aspx) covering the preprint concludes

>Human judgment-based platforms, such as Metaculus, go beyond providing direct forecasts and must be combined with computational models to make the most of such ensembles. Since they can aggregate information, interactive computational models and other analytical tools could help them assimilate domain knowledge and minimize certain cognitive biases. Remarkably, they could also provide ‘public pulse’ estimates of behavioral aspects, such as mask use and vaccine uptake. Overall, prediction tools, such as Metaculus, could serve as aggregators, trackers, and ensembles of such forecasts to be useful for policymakers.

Jason Furman, Harvard professor and former chairman of Barack Obama's Council of Economic Advisors, offered some [categorizations and forecasts on Twitter](https://twitter.com/jasonfurman/status/1585787417998790656) regarding the US’ economic response to the Federal Reserve raising the [federal funds rate](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_funds_rate). We [launched a question](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/13442/core-pce-and-max-unemployment-in-2023/) allowing users to make their own forecasts using Furman’s categories.