February 28, 2023 Metaculus Virtual Meetup
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**Update:** The February 2023 Virtual Metaculus Meetup will be held at 12:00 PM US central time (6:00 PM UTC) on Tuesday February 28th. We'll use Jitsi for the meetup, here's a link to join: https://meet.jit.si/moderated/efe1ec98d176fb404bbffdf686a696410544ca2b7c616d09cecc932eb77bee97 [Here's a link to an ics calendar invite](https://drive.google.com/file/d/16eai42GrUHzuseSis0IUZDt22hc7j3_S/view?usp=sharing) you can download if you wish to add it to your calendar. See you there! --- We’re holding another virtual meetup (last held in [January of 2023](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/14559/january-26-2023-virtual-metaculus-meetup/)). This is an opportunity to chat with your fellow Metaculites and a few Metaculus Admins about anything on your mind related to forecasting, interesting questions on the site, rationales for your forecasts, questions for Admins, questions you want to see on the site, or anything else. Fill out this when2meet to indicate your availability: https://www.when2meet.com/?18877379-o6of9 We’ll select a time and announce it prior to the meetup. If there are no objections the meetup will be held on [Jitsi](https://meet.jit.si/), which is free to use, and we’ll post a link to the meeting when the time is announced. We’ve also launched a forecasting question asking for the peak number of attendees for the February forecasting meetup, [see if you can predict the attendance here](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/12559/metaculus-meetup-peak-attendees/). We hope to see you there! # In Case You Missed It We revealed a bunch of new and exciting features since the last meetup, including decimal forecasting, collaborative question writing, prediction reaffirmation, conditional pairs, and API documentation. See the “Platform Improvements” section below for more details! After the last meetup we also launched two exciting new tournaments, [Keep Virginia Safe II](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/keep-virginia-safe-ii/) (KVSII) and [Climate Tipping Points](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/climate/). In KVSII we build on our work in the first [Keep Virginia Safe Tournament](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/vdh/) to further support the University of Virginia Biocomplexity Institute and the Virginia Department of Health in monitoring and tracking the COVID pandemic as well as other risks such as mpox and avian influenza. The [Climate Tipping Points Tournament](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/climate/) represents a new effort in partnership with the [Federation of American Scientists](https://fas.org/) to explore positive tipping points with a focus on zero-emission vehicle (ZEV) adoption. We aim to provide useful information to policymakers about factors affecting ZEV adoption and where policy may have the largest impact in accelerating adoption of ZEVs. Our new report [Forecasting Our World in Data: The Next 100 Years](https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/14965/forecasting-our-world-in-data-the-next-100-years/) was published this month, containing a fascinating exploration of the forecasts in the [Forecasting Our World in Data Tournament](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/forecasting-Our-World-in-Data/). This report shares detailed descriptions of the reasoning of the Metaculus Pro Forecasters on their questions for this project and paints a fascinating picture of the potential developments worldwide over the next century. # Platform Improvements A ton of cool features launched since the last meetup that we’re really excited about. Below is an overview, see the linked discussion posts for more details. Join in the February meetup and let us know how you’re liking them! * [Conditional pairs](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/15205/introducing-conditional-pairs/) – Forecast the likelihood of an event occurring *if* another event does. * [Reaffirm predictions](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/15135/-now-you-can-reaffirm-your-predictions/) – Reaffirm that your last forecast reflects your latest reasoning. * [Official launch of the Metaculus API](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/15141/officially-launching-the-metaculus-api/) – Our API now has supporting documentation and a new authentication method. * [Decimal forecasting](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/14479/predict-01999-with-decimal-forecasting/) – Express a more precise probability, especially for events you think are beyond the 1 to 99% range of likelihood. * [Collaborative question writing](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/15021/-introducing-collaborative-question-writing/) – Invite coauthors to your draft question and collaborate on making a high-quality question. We’ve been delighted to see [new questions launch with coauthors](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/15134/dubais-aerial-taxis-operational-in-2026/) and some [invitations to collaborate](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/956/suggest-questions-to-launch/#comment-116237). If you’re looking for help from other users to write a question we suggest posting a comment on [this discussion post](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/956/suggest-questions-to-launch/). * [New tournaments page](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/15017/a-new-tournaments-page-search-sort--filter/) – You can now find all our tournaments on a [new and improved page](https://www.metaculus.com/tournaments/), which also allows you to sort and filter the tournaments.