Congratulations to the winners of our [first quarter 2024 Quarterly Cup](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/quarterly-cup-2024q1/)! The top three finishers are:

1. [lbiii](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/127582/)
2. [draaglom](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/131306/)
3. [forecastooor](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/123064/)

A big round of applause for our winners! We will contact you soon to arrange shipment of your Metaculus-branded baseball caps.

This quarter saw a number of significant events including

* [Two successful moon landings](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/20919/successful-moon-landings-in-early-2024/), including the first lander operated by a private company,
* [Donald Trump securing the Republican nomination](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/21109/donald-trump-wins-2024-new-hampshire-primary/),
* [US strikes against the Iranian military](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/21280/us-strikes-against-iran-in-early-february/),
* [Confrontations between China and the Philippines](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/21792/china-philippine-vessel-clash-before-april-1/),
* And Haitian Prime Minister Ariel Henry [unable to return home](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/21405/ariel-henry-out-as-acting-pm-by-april/) from a trip abroad, followed by his resignation and replacement with a transitional government

## Forecast in the Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup

Get ready for the Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup! We invite forecasters of all levels, from newcomers to seasoned experts, to join in and sharpen their forecasting skills. The competition starts soon, with questions opening on April 9, [here](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/quarterly-cup/). The tournament will kick off with the following questions:

* [Will Iran carry out a deadly attack within Israel before May 1, 2024?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/22161/iran-deadly-attack-on-israel-before-may-2024/)
* [What will the IMDB rating of the special episode of Bluey titled "The Sign" be three days after it airs?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/22194/bluey-the-sign-imdb-rating/)
* [How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for the month of April 2024?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/22238/us-southwest-border-encounters-april-2024/)
* [What will be the largest number of Chinese aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) in a single day between May 15 and June 15, 2024?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/22239/max-china-taiwan-adiz-violations-spring-2024/)