Questions in this series were developed with guidance from nuclear security experts such as [James Acton](https://carnegieendowment.org/experts/434), co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, as well as AI governance experts at the [Center for a New American Security](https://www.cnas.org/).

Explore and forecast questions at the intersection of U.S.-China tensions, nuclear risk, and frontier AI chip supply, all with a focus on Taiwan.

[Start forecasting on the below and other questions](https://www.metaculus.com/project/taiwan/)

[Will China cut half or more of the undersea cables that connect Taiwan to the internet before the given years?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/21806/taiwan-undersea-cables-cut/)

[Will China make an official statement threatening nuclear use if there is interference with Taiwan?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/21870/china-nuclear-taiwan-interference/)

What is the chance that TSCM is bombed conditional [on](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/22215/conditional-1m--year/) [various](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/22206/conditional-1m--year/) [types](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/22209/conditional-1m--year/) [of](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/22203/conditional-1m--year/) [escalation](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/22212/conditional-1m--year/)?