Congratulations to the winners of our [third quarter 2024 Quarterly Cup](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/quarterly-cup-2024q3/)! The top three finishers are:

1. [forecastooor](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/123064/)
2. [SpottedBear](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/131523/)
3. [kjz](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/114033/)

A big round of applause for our winners! We will contact you soon to arrange shipment of your Metaculus-branded baseball caps. And congratulations to all the medal winners in the tournament!

This quarter saw a number of significant events including the [end of Joe Biden's candidacy for reelection](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/26109/will-biden-end-his-candidacy/), an assassination attempt on Donald Trump that resulted in the [resignation of the director of the Secret Service](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/26175/cheatle-ss-director-through-september-2024/), a [significant 50 bps cut in US interest rates](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/26941/fed-rate-cuts-september-2024/), and [continued air intimidation of Taiwan by China](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/25727/max-china-taiwan-adiz-violations-fall-2024/).

## Forecast in the Q4 2024 Quarterly Cup

Get ready for the Q4 2024 Quarterly Cup! We invite forecasters of all levels, from newcomers to seasoned experts, to join in and sharpen their forecasting skills. The competition opened October 8, and you can join [here](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/quarterly-cup/). Here are a few of the questions that have opened so far, and more will be added every week:

* [When will the sixth Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/28651/date-of-starship-ift-6/)
* [Will BirdCast report 1 billion birds flying over the United States at any point before January 1, 2025?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/28704/birdcast-reports-1b-birds-flying-in-q4-2024/)
* [Will North Korea perform its seventh nuclear test before 2025?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/28903/will-north-korea-perform-a-nuclear-test-before-2025/)
* [Will Erik Ten Hag stop being Manchester United's manager before 2025?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/28855/will-erik-ten-hag-be-fired-before-2025/)
* [What will be the US national average retail price of regular gasoline on Tuesday November 5, 2024, according to AAA?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/28550/gas-price-on-election-day-2024/)