Announcing the 2025 Bridgewater Contest Winners!
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### April 1, 2025: Announcing the Winners **Congratulations to** [**cookics999**](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/121071/)**, the #1 ranked forecaster in both the Open and Undergraduate Competitions, with a final score of 3,167!** See leaderboards with the 10 top-ranked forecasters in each competition [here](https://www.metaculus.com/bridgewater/), and you can find the full final leaderboards on the [public leaderboards page](https://www.metaculus.com/bridgewater/leaderboards/). Metaculus will be in touch with winners to arrange paying out prize money. Bridgewater Associates is reviewing forecasters' performances and submitted resumes and plans to share more about the contest later on. **Thank you for you participating in the Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest!** *Bridgewater wants your feedback on the contest. Share your thoughts in* [*this short survey*](https://metaculus.typeform.com/to/sNG2cnh0)*.* You can also optionally share your resume with Bridgewater [here](https://job-boards.greenhouse.io/bridgewatercampusrecruiting/jobs/7823091002).  *** ### [**Round 3 and the final set of 10 questions are live**](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/bridgewater/?order_by=-open_time)**!**  Forecast on questions like:  * [Will Donald Trump have a positive approval rating on March 23, 2025?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/35101/trump-positive-approval-rating-on-march-23-2025/) * [What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/35110/what-will-the-2-year-treasury-yield-be-on-march-19-2025/) * [What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/35250/what-will-be-nigerias-year-on-year-inflation-for-feb-2025/) * [What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/35097/stock-price-change-during-paris-fashion-week-in-mar-2025/) — and don't forget to check your forecasts on Round 1 & 2 questions to see if they need updating.  **All questions resolve by March 31st.** [**Get started**](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/bridgewater/?order_by=-open_time)**, and good luck!** Looking for help? Visit the [Q\&A page](https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/34502/). Haven't started forecasting on Rounds 1 or 2 yet? [There's still time](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/bridgewater/)! *** ### **Round 2 of the Bridgewater x Metaculus Contest is open for forecasting!** 20 new questions are live, including:  * [What will be the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven on March 28th?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31781/what-will-the-magnificent-7-market-cap-be-on-mar-28-2025/) * [How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the US as of March 31?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34860/how-many-human-cases-of-h5-in-the-us-on-march-31-2025/) * [Will President Trump issue a new executive order delaying the tariffs on Canada before March 4?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/34885/president-trump-delays-tariffs-on-canada-march-2025/) There's still plenty of time to join the competition! Get started [here](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/bridgewater/?order_by=-published_at\&status=open).  *** **February 3 Update: Round 1 of the Bridgewater x Metaculus Contest is open for forecasting!** If you're registered for the tournament,[ <u>start forecasting</u>](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/bridgewater/) and compete for \$25,000 in prizes and potential opportunities with [<u>Bridgewater</u>](https://www.bridgewater.com/). Last year, Bridgewater made multiple offers to the top performers! If you aren't yet registered, join[ <u>here</u>](https://www.metaculus.com/bridgewater/). There you can also confirm that you’re eligible to compete on the leaderboards you expect. If you’re an undergrad but aren’t seeing your undergrad eligibility, [<u>contact us</u>](mailto:contact@metaculus.com) and tell us your expected graduation year, your major, and your school. We hope you share the contest with any eligible forecasters who would enjoy it, whatever their experience levels. **New questions launch Monday, February 10th and Monday, February 17th. All forecasts resolve March 31st, and we will announce winners April 1st.** **Looking for tips or have questions? Check out our Bridgewater x Metaculus** [**Welcome and Q\&A page**](https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/34502/bridgewater-forecasting-contest-welcome-and-qa/)**.** Want to learn more about the contest and how Bridgewater is leveraging it to identify talent? Blake Cecil, Bridgewater’s Deputy Chief Investment Officer, has a new op-ed in Fast Company. [<u>Check it out</u>](https://www.fastcompany.com/91267018/why-the-future-of-talent-recruitment-is-meritocratic)! *** For the second consecutive year, Metaculus is collaborating with Bridgewater Associates — the world’s largest hedge fund and a leader in global asset management — to host a forecasting competition offering \$25,000 in prizes and potential opportunities with Bridgewater. While last year's competition was limited to participants in the United States, this year we’re excited to welcome forecasters from around the globe. [**You must register to compete**](https://www.metaculus.com/bridgewater/) — then, get in shape with our [warmup questions](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/bridgewater-warmup/) to prepare for the competition kickoff February 3rd. We'll message you before the first round of questions launch.  Learn more about the contest structure, the open and undergraduate leaderboards, and details on how questions are scored [here](https://www.metaculus.com/bridgewater/how-it-works/).   [You can find the questions and results from last year's competition here.](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/3067/) ### One Contest, Two Leaderboards: Undergraduate and Open Competitions This contest features a unified set of 50 forecasting questions, with two distinct leaderboards: one for all participants in the Open Competition and another specifically for undergraduate students in the Undergraduate Competition. ### \$25,000 in Prizes Each competition boasts a \$12,500 prize pool, totaling \$25,000 across both leaderboards. The top 125 forecasters in each competition are eligible for prizes. Undergraduate participants will be ranked on both leaderboards and can win prizes in both categories. Prizes will be distributed after the contest ends and participants complete identity verification. This year, there is no guaranteed \$50 minimum prize per participant, meaning top performers are likely to receive a larger share of the prize pool, and fewer than 125 prizes may be awarded in each competition. ### Undergraduate Competition and Leaderboard Open exclusively to currently enrolled undergraduate students, the Undergraduate Competition offers a dedicated \$12,500 prize pool. Undergraduate participants are automatically included in the Open Competition as well, providing dual opportunities to compete and showcase their skills. Outstanding performance in this category could capture the attention of the Bridgewater recruiting team. ### Open Competition and Leaderboard The Open Competition is open to everyone, regardless of background or experience, with its own \$12,500 prize pool. Both seasoned and novice forecasters are encouraged to participate, demonstrate their forecasting prowess, and potentially earn an invitation to meet with the Bridgewater recruitment team. *A message from Bridgewater:* > *The foundation of Bridgewater is our mission to deeply understand how the world works and translate that understanding into unique market insights, aligning with Metaculus' mission—a platform for forecasting and modeling future events and trends. We hope this partnership reaches more people who see the power of using data and research to comprehend the world around us. Join now to showcase your skills and take part in this exciting tournament!*