**Update September 1, 2025:** The Fall 2025 Metaculus Cup launches today at 17:00 UTC with the following questions:

* [Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39336/us-attacks-venezuela-before-nov-2025/)
* [Which coalition will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39700/french-pms-coalition-on-december-31-2025/)
* [Will Paul Biya be reelected President of Cameroon in 2025?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39331/paul-biya-reelected-in-2025/)
* [Who will win Big Brother 27 (US)?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39636/big-brother-27-winner/)

In this round we're emphasising discussion more, with \$2,500 out of the \$5,000 prize pool going to the top 8 users based on their overall contributions to the comments of tournament questions.

The winners and prizes for the [Summer 2025 tournament](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/metaculus-cup-summer-2025/) will be announced next week. Stay tuned!

***

We are excited to invite you to participate in the [**Metaculus Cup**](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/metaculus-cup/) series, the continuation of our [Quarterly Cup](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/quarterly-cup/) tournaments, now with a prize pool of \$5,000!

Three tournaments will launch annually—spring, summer, and fall—each running for four months. Every Monday, we'll open new questions covering both [current events](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31849/hostages-released-by-hamas-between-jan-26-and-apr-5-2025/) and [fun forecasting challenges](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/35588/when-will-the-dc-cherry-trees-reach-peak-bloom-in-2025/). Perform well in these questions to earn a share of the \$3,500 forecasting prize pool, with an additional \$1,500 awarded to the tournament's top 10 comments.

The [**Metaculus Cup**](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/metaculus-cup/) is also a great place to submit your own questions, helping our forecasting community grow and keeping Metaculus ahead of breaking news (find our question writing guide [here](https://www.metaculus.com/question-writing/)). Writing intriguing questions that attract forecaster engagement will put you in the running for our [question-writing medals](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/20025/new-scores-new-leaderboard-new-medals/)!

If you're new to Metaculus, the Cup provides an excellent introduction to the platform and offers quick feedback on your forecasting abilities. For forecasters of all levels, it’s an opportunity to hone your skills, earn medals, engage with your fellow forecasters, and track current events through the lens of quantified forecasting.