Winners of the 2023 Phase of the Forecasting Our World in Data Tournament
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The first phase of the [<u>Forecasting Our World in Data Tournament</u>](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/forecasting-Our-World-in-Data/) has come to an end, and we’re pleased to congratulate the top two winners who predicted what the world would look like in 2023: 1. [<u>SpottedBear</u>](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/131523/) – \$7,773 2. [<u>PepeS</u>](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/112705/) – \$61 Congratulations on your performance and congratulations to all forecasters who won medals in this phase of the tournament! We’d like to thank our partners at [<u>Our World in Data</u>](https://ourworldindata.org/) for their collaboration on this tournament and for continuing to provide a valuable resource that helps us better understand the world we live in. [<u>Join the tournament</u>](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/forecasting-Our-World-in-Data/) to predict what key global metrics will reveal for 2025, and potentially earn a share of the \$8,000 prize pool. From the largest AI training run, to global CO2 emissions, to the number of objects launched into space, forecasts on these questions provide valuable information about what forecasters expect the world will look like through the year 2122. https://www.metaculus.com/questions/12937/ https://www.metaculus.com/questions/12910/ [](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/12740/annual-number-of-objects-launched-into-space/) https://www.metaculus.com/questions/12740/ **Congratulations again to the prizewinners, SpottedBear and PepeS!** *** *Note that this tournament uses our* [*<u>legacy tournament scoring</u>*](https://www.metaculus.com/help/scores-faq/#legacy-tournament-scores)*, which was the standard when the tournament launched. Also please note that the 2023 portion of the questions listed below have not yet resolved because the data is not yet available, and therefore they will remain open until the data to resolve them becomes available, but will not be included in the 2023 portion of the tournament.* * [*<u>What will be the total global disease burden (in DALYs) due to lead exposure in the following years?</u>*](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/12734/world-dalys-lost-due-to-lead-exposure/) * [*<u>What will be the total number of fatalities from terrorism in the world in the following years?</u>*](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/12815/total-global-fatalities-from-terrorism/) * [*<u>What will be the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people in the following years?</u>*](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/12883/global-homicide-rate/) * [*<u>What will productivity be in the United States in the following years?</u>*](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/12916/us-gdp-per-hour-worked-productivity/) * [*<u>What will be the reported trust in government averaged across OECD countries in the following years?</u>*](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/12877/oecd-trust-in-government/) * [*<u>What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?</u>*](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/13107/death-rate-from-infectious-disease/)