The new Metaculus Cup launches today!

Each week we'll release a few questions covering [current events](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/31849/hostages-released-by-hamas-between-jan-26-and-apr-5-2025/) and [fun forecasting challenges](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/35588/when-will-the-dc-cherry-trees-reach-peak-bloom-in-2025/) (with at least one about [cherry tree blooms](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/35588/when-will-the-dc-cherry-trees-reach-peak-bloom-in-2025/#comment-305691)). Perform well to earn a share of the \$2,500 forecasting prize and a custom Metaculus-branded die. Contribute to the discussion to compete for an additional \$2,500 awarded to the tournament's top 8 commenters.

New this season: the Community Prediction will go head-to-head against[ <u>Nathan Young</u>](https://x.com/NathanpmYoung), a seasoned forecaster and one of the field's most vocal advocates. Beat Nathan and an additional \$2,500 gets added to the forecasting prize pool.

> Nathan is the Director of [Goodheart Labs](https://goodheartlabs.com/), where he builds epistemic tools including the world's first AI-written community note on X. He works as a geopolitical forecaster with the Swift Centre, covering topics from elections to healthcare innovation. He previously served as Head of Forecasting at Zeitgeist, a crypto prediction market integrating futarchy governance, and has moderated for both Metaculus and Manifold Markets.

The Metaculus Cup is also a great place to submit your own questions, helping the community grow and keeping Metaculus ahead of breaking news (find our question writing guide [here](https://www.metaculus.com/question-writing/)). Write intriguing questions that attract forecaster engagement and you'll be in the running for our [question-writing medals](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/20025/new-scores-new-leaderboard-new-medals/).

Join the tournament [here](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/metaculus-cup/).