Bridgewater x Metaculus 2026 winners to be announced soon!
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### **March 16, 2026 Update** #### **The contest has concluded, winners to be announced soon** We are performing some final checks on the contest results and will share the winners soon. Thank you for your patience, and thank you to everyone who participated in the 3rd annual Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest! *** The final wave of 11 new questions¹ is now open for forecasting, with questions including: * [Will the number of manufacturing jobs in the US for February 2026 be above 12.7 million?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/40875/us-manufacturing-jobs-more-than-127m-in-feb-2026/) * [What will US manufacturing construction spending be in December 2025?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/41697/us-manufacturing-construction-spending-dec-2025/) * [What will YoY US electricity inflation be for February 2026?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/40935/yoy-us-electricity-inflation-for-feb-2026/) * [Will U.S. consumer sentiment in March 2026 be higher than in February 2026?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/41699/us-consumer-sentiment-increase-feb-to-mar-2026/) * [When will the Supreme Court release its decision on presidential tariff authority in Learning Resources v. Trump?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/41934/when-will-scotus-decide-learning-resources-v-trump/) There's still time to start forecasting if you haven't begun yet. Remember: The earlier you forecast, the better your score. [<u>View all questions</u>](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/bridgewater/) *¹ We launched 11 questions instead of the originally planned 10 to replace one of the questions that ended up being annulled early.* *** For the third year running, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a global forecasting competition. This year's contest offers \$30,000 in prizes (up from \$25,000 last year), including \$5,000 in bonus prizes for top undergraduates. High performers may be contacted by Bridgewater about recruiting opportunities. Previous contestants have received internship offers, and several have gone on to full-time roles. [**Register here**](https://www.metaculus.com/bridgewater/) to [start forecasting](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/bridgewater/). We'll notify you of any important developments, including when new questions go live.  *** ## **One Contest, Two Leaderboards** The contest features 50 forecasting questions with two leaderboards: the Open Competition (all participants) and the Undergraduate Competition (current undergraduates only). Undergraduates are ranked on both and can win prizes in both. *** ## **\$30,000 in Prizes** **Open Competition:** \$12,500 for the top 50 forecasters **Undergraduate Competition:** \$12,500 for the top 50 undergraduate forecasters, plus a \$5,000 bonus pool for the top 10 Prizes will be distributed after the contest ends and participants complete identity verification. There is no guaranteed minimum prize, meaning top performers are likely to receive a larger share of the pool. *** ## **Why** [**<u>Bridgewater</u>**](https://www.bridgewater.com/bridgewater-x-metaculus-2026-competition) **Started This Contest** Great forecasters don't all come from the same places. Bridgewater started this contest to find talent that traditional recruiting overlooks, reaching skilled forecasters from a wider range of backgrounds. The approach has worked. Past contests have drawn participants from over 100 countries and 140+ schools, many of which Bridgewater hadn't historically recruited from. Top performers have been brought into Bridgewater's internship program, and several have since converted to full-time hires. Bridgewater encourages participants to comment on questions and share their reasoning. Thoughtful analysis and constructive debate are valued. To explore Bridgewater's perspective on some of this year's key topics, see [**Bridgewater's insights on AI**](https://www.bridgewater.com/research-and-insights/artificial-intelligence) and **"**[**We're All Mercantilists Now**](https://www.bridgewater.com/research-and-insights/were-all-mercantilists-now)**"** by co-CIO Greg Jensen. Learn more about the contest structure, leaderboards, and scoring on the [How It Works page](https://www.metaculus.com/bridgewater/how-it-works/) and start forecasting [here](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/bridgewater/).