Congratulations to the winners of the [Fall 2025 Metaculus Cup](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/metaculus-cup-fall-2025/)! The tournament included questions on important current events such as [the US attacking Venezuela](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39336/us-attacks-venezuela-before-2026/) and [the tumultuous political situation in France](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39700/french-pms-grouping-on-december-31-2025/); unexpected turns of events, such as [the US attacking Nigerian territory](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/40577/us-military-in-nigeria-before-2026/) and [D66 winning the most seats in the Dutch parliament](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39752/2025-dutch-election-winner/); fun questions like [predicting the 2026 Color of the Year](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39911/2026-pantone-color/); and one controversial question [on the winner of the latest Big Brother season](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/39636/big-brother-27-winner/).

The gold-medal winners on the forecasting leaderboard, competing for \$2,500, are:

1. [Adonis](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/114613/ "Adonis")
2. [Sergio](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/115725/)
3. [benshindel](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/123595/ "benshindel")
4. [lubossaloky](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/135380/ "lubossaloky")
5. [exmateriae](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/119188/ "exmateriae")
6. [kjz](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/114033/ "kjz")

Although bots are not eligible for prizes or medals in the Metaculus Cup, [🤖 manticAI](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/191026/ "🤖 manticAI")'s impressive performance would've won them 4th place, the highest a bot has ever ranked in such a tournament.

In addition to their prizes, all gold-medal winners in this and future iterations of the Metaculus Cup will also receive a custom Metaculus 20-sided die, designed specifically for the Fall iteration of the Metaculus Cup.

<img height="248" width="453" src="https://cdn.metaculus.com/user_uploaded/944e037832d8b5e853c09c3480e73425_compress.jpg" />

Participants who manage to collect a die from each of the three seasons will also get the larger rainbow die shown below.

<img height="248" width="454" src="https://cdn.metaculus.com/user_uploaded/1932_6YBQ9PX.jpg" />

Along with the forecasting prize, the Metaculus Cup has a commenting prize of \$2,500, awarded to the top 8 commenters based on their overall contributions in the Cup. This season the community exceeded our expectations in the quantity and quality of comments (also making our work much harder). The winners are:

1. [exmateriae](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/119188/ "exmateriae") - \$600
2. [CastilianoVulgo](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/103223/ "CastilianoVulgo") - \$500
3. [Zaldath](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/139161/ "Zaldath") - \$400
4. [Perspectus](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/139876/ "Perspectus") - \$300
5. [Russell-viper](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/245211/ "Russell-viper") - \$250
6. [lubossaloky](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/135380/ "lubossaloky") - \$200
7. [Adonis](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/114613/ "Adonis") - \$150
8. [Jgalt](https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/101465/ "Jgalt") - \$100

Congratulations to all winners and especially the top 3 who in total wrote approximately 150 pages of text! For more high quality comments, check out our new [Comments of the Week](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/?weekly_top_comments=true) leaderboard.

We will contact all forecasting and commenting winners soon to arrange prize-giving and shipment of your Metaculus-branded dice.

‎

## Forecast in the Spring 2026 Metaculus Cup vs Nathan Young

The [next iteration of the Metaculus Cup](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/metaculus-cup-spring-2026/) has already begun, with questions on [US foreign policy](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/41487/countries-attacked-by-the-us-before-may-2026/), the [Winter Olympics](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/41370/podium-sweep-at-2026-olympics/), [the Costa Rican presidential election](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/41555/will-laura-fernandez-win-the-costa-rican-presidential-election/), and many more. This season, the community will also compete against Pro Forecaster Nathan Young, with the chance to add an additional \$2,500 to the prize pool. Join for a chance to beat Nathan and to win the custom-made Metaculus spring die!