Announcing: AI Outlook With JetBrains, $3,000 Prize Pool

by christian•Feb 10, 2026•Edited on Feb 18, 2026•1 min read
**We've launched** [**AI Outlook With JetBrains**](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/jetbrains/)**, featuring a \$3,000 prize pool, with questions closing June 1st.**

![](https://cdn.metaculus.com/user_uploaded/Screenshot_2026-02-10_at_5.16.43PM.png)

JetBrains is conducting an ongoing study on how accurately forecasters can predict emerging AI capabilities, how developer attitudes shift over time, and what characteristics distinguish the most accurate forecasters.

#### Forecast on topics like:

* [Top AI benchmark scores](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/40280/top-ai-benchmark-scores-before-sep-2026/) for
  * FrontierMath (Tier 4)
  * ARC-AGI-2
  * OSWorld Verified
  * Vals Index
  * METR 50% Time Horizon
  * Remote Labor Index
  * and GSO Benchmark (OPT@1)
* [Coding tool integration with brain-computer interface technology](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/40281/bci-coding-tool-integration-before-nov-2026/)
* [Developer reported job security](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/40709/of-devs-feeling-high-job-security-in-2025/)
* [Delegation of tasks like the below to AI](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/40710/of-devs-ok-with-ai-doing-these-tasks-in-2025/)
  * Boilerplate code
  * Refactoring
  * Debugging
  * Optimizing code

[**Start forecasting**](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/jetbrains/)[ **here**](https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/jetbrains/)**, and be sure to complete this** [**short JetBrains Research survey**](https://surveys.jetbrains.com/s3/JetBrains-and-Metaculus-Forecasting-Challenge-2026) **in order to be eligible for prizes. Note: You'll need to share your Metaculus username in the survey.**

***

[**JetBrains**](https://www.jetbrains.com/) creates intelligent tools for software developers. [**JetBrains Research**](https://www.jetbrains.com/research/), their scientific research arm, explores applied and theoretical questions across the developer ecosystem.

*This is the second JetBrains tournament on Metaculus.* [*Last year's contest*](https://www.metaculus.com/c/jetbrains/) *was built on JetBrains' self-moderated Community. This year's contest expands the scope and is moderated by Metaculus.*&#x20;

*Bots are not eligible for this contest.*&#x20;