Have you ever been in the room while a crucial decision is being made, perhaps one you’ve played an influential role in, and wondered if there was a way you could leverage your privileged position to improve your financial situation? Now with Metaculus’ new Conflict-Driven Interest program, you can!

Starting today, we’re diversifying from our rigorously designed incentive structure that gives proper scores for predicting your true beliefs, rewarded by no-stakes prize winnings. With our new Conflict-Driven Interest program you can attach a crypto™® wallet to your Metaculus account (guaranteed untraceable and fully invisible to any tax authority) and bet big money on the outcomes no one else knows about (yet). This lets you extract money from bettors who didn’t put in the work to have your position at the decision-making table.

Once your wallet is funded, simply launch a market specific to the knowledge you happen to have as an insider, stake your position, and turn ignorance into interest as your counterparties naively donate to your cause. For example, are you in the chain of command about upcoming surprise strikes in a geopolitical conflict? Is the rumor-mill swirling about the possibility? Then you’re in a prime position to launch a market in our Conflict-Driven Interest program and profit when the destruction starts.

A few pro-tips for members of our Conflict-Driven Interest program:

* Bettors bite better when the outcome seems unlikely, so launch your market as early as possible in the decision-making process, ideally as soon as you feel confident that you can steer that unlikely outcome into inevitability.
* Remember: opacity is just another name for [<u>alpha</u>](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/alpha.asp). The less legible the process, the more room there is for price discovery by people who have not, in fact, discovered the price.
* Think of ethics rules as market frictions. Our new program was created to help sophisticated users free themselves from such backwards constraints.
* Although we cannot be on the record condoning such actions, and we don't mean to pressure you, we've heard your peers have started [creative experiments](https://www.timesofisrael.com/gamblers-trying-to-win-a-bet-on-polymarket-are-vowing-to-kill-me-if-i-dont-rewrite-an-iran-missile-story/) in giving feedback to media sources.

From announcements that move markets to geopolitical conflict decisions to new government policies, there’s no area where a large infusion of cash will hurt (you). To learn more about our Conflict-Driven Interest program and start letting the private discussions you’re privy to earn interest for you, [click here](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43082/is-metaculus-conflict-driven-interest-program-an-april-fools-joke/).