Announcing the <a href="https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/metaculus-cup-summer-2026/">Metaculus Cup Summer 2026 With Dylan Matthews</a>!

<p>Each week we'll release a few questions covering current events. Forecast well to earn a share of the \$2,500 forecasting prize and a custom Metaculus-branded die. Contribute to the discussion to compete for an additional \$2,500 awarded to the tournament's top 8 commenters. </p><p>The first batch is: </p>

* [What will be the relative rank of the weakest team to advance to the knockout stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43328/lowest-relative-rank-of-knockout-team-2026-fifa-world-cup/)
* [What will be the verdict in Musk v. Altman et al?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43311/verdict-in-musk-v-altman-et-al/)
* [Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43345/2026-colombian-presidential-election-winner/)
* [Will another country announce they will quit OPEC or OPEC+ before September 2026?](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43333/another-opec-exit-announced-before-sep-26/)

[](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43345/2026-colombian-presidential-election-winner/#comments)

Questions are currently set to Upcoming. You can start forecasting now, and your predictions will be live as soon as questions open. (Scoring is determined only by the open period.)

[](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43311/verdict-in-musk-v-altman-et-al/#comments)

<p>The Community Prediction will go head-to-head against guest forecaster <a href="https://x.com/dylanmatt"><u>Dylan Matthews</u></a>, the policy journalist who cofounded Vox's Future Perfect. If the Community Prediction is more accurate than our guest, an additional \$2,500 gets added to the forecasting prize pool.</p>

<blockquote>
  <p>Dylan is an associate program officer for the Abundance & Growth Fund at Coefficient Giving. Before that, he spent more than a decade as a policy journalist, most of it at Vox, where he was an original staff writer and cofounded <a href="https://www.vox.com/future-perfect">Future Perfect</a> to cover global health, pandemic prevention, anti-poverty work, and philanthropic ethics. Earlier, he covered tax, budget, and economic policy at the Washington Post's Wonkblog, with bylines in The New Republic and Slate.</p>
</blockquote>

<p>The Metaculus Cup is also a great place to submit your own questions, helping the community grow and keeping Metaculus ahead of breaking news (find our question writing guide <a href="https://www.metaculus.com/question-writing/">here</a>). Write intriguing questions that attract forecaster engagement and you'll be in the running for our <a href="https://www.metaculus.com/questions/20025/new-scores-new-leaderboard-new-medals/">question-writing medals</a>.</p>

<p>Join the tournament and learn more <a href="https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/metaculus-cup-summer-2026/">here</a>.</p>