Question

Will Japan's Hayabusa2 spacecraft's lander or rovers successfully land on the asteroid Ryugu?

Resolved:Yes

10 comments10

Total Forecasters97

Community Prediction

85%

(74% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 85%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

60.2

Community Peer Score

1.9

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Jun 24, 2018

Closes:

Jul 15, 2018

Resolves:

Sep 22, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 25, 2018

Japanese space startup blames laser tool for second failed moon landing

•Jun 25, 2025

See it: New NASA images show crash site of failed Japanese lunar lander

•Jun 24, 2025

Moon Landing Mishap: ispace's Resilience Crash Revealed

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Jun 24, 2018

Closes:

Jul 15, 2018

Resolves:

Sep 22, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 25, 2018

Japanese space startup blames laser tool for second failed moon landing

•Jun 25, 2025

See it: New NASA images show crash site of failed Japanese lunar lander

•Jun 24, 2025

Moon Landing Mishap: ispace's Resilience Crash Revealed

•Jun 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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6.01