Question

Will at least 50K civilians die in at least one major Ukrainian city in 2022?

Resolved:Ambiguous
12
51
Total Forecasters435
Community Prediction
10%
(4% - 14%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 10%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

Authors:
AlyssaStevens
Opened:Feb 26, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolves:Jan 23, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 26, 2022
Ukraine Conflict
Geopolitics
2022-2023 Leaderboard