Question
How many troops of the NATO Response Force will deploy to the frontline states in 2022?
Resolved:Below lower boundTotal Forecasters18
Community Prediction
27.7k
(15.6k - 37.5k)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<3000 | 6.8% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 15.64k | — |
median | 27.66k | — |
upper 75% | 37.47k | — |
Upper bound | ||
>45k | 11.7% | — |
What was the final result?Below lower bound
Community Baseline Score
-68.1
Community Peer Score
35.2
Authors:
Opened:Mar 15, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 17, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Mar 15, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 17, 2022