378 forecasters

Will critical EU or UK infrastructure be successfully attacked by Russian cyberattacks before 2023?

1%chance

1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 5, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 5, 2022

Ukraine Conflict

Computing and Math

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Russian cyber-attacks against Nato states up by 25% in a year, analysis finds

Guardian•Oct 16, 2025

Cyber-attacks rise by 50% in past year, UK security agency says

Guardian•Oct 14, 2025

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