Question

Will the number of Chinese military aircraft entering Taiwan's Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) exceed 60 on any single day in 2022?

Resolved:No
6
39
Total Forecasters184
Community Prediction
1%
(1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-6.2
Community Peer Score
28.7
Authors:
andrewallen1.6180havlickova.blanka
Opened:Mar 1, 2022
Closes:Dec 30, 2022
Resolves:Dec 31, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 1, 2022
China and Global Cooperation
Geopolitics
2022 Leaderboard