200 forecasters

When will Russia's nuclear readiness scale return to Level 1?

community

15 Nov 2023

result

Ambiguous

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 2, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolved:

Sep 5, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 2, 2022

Ukraine Conflict

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Russia raises tensions with NATO as Putin shows off his battlefield nuclear weapons

Independent•Sep 16, 2025

Russia shows off conventional and nuclear military might in drills — and raises tensions with NATO

Associated Press•Sep 16, 2025

Putin's Forces Practicing Nuclear Weapons Use Plan as NATO Tensions High

Newsweek•Sep 12, 2025

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