236 forecasters

Will the US sanction Russian oil or gas before 2023?

99%chance

99%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 2, 2022

Closes:

Aug 31, 2022

Resolved:

Mar 8, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 2, 2022

Ukraine Conflict

🏆 2022 Leaderboard

Trump claims Modi has agreed to stop importing Russian oil to India

Independent•Oct 18, 2025

Russia’s funding for Ukraine war set to ‘contract’ as new sanctions loom

Al Jazeera•Oct 17, 2025

Thune says ‘time’s right’ for Russia sanctions bill as Trump asks Bessent to pitch Europe on China tariffs

New York Post•Oct 17, 2025

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