Your submission is now a Draft.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

You have been invited to co-author this question.

When it is ready, the author will submit it for review by Community Moderators. Thanks for helping!

Pending

This question now needs to be approved by community moderators.

You have been invited to co-author this question.

It now needs to be approved by community moderators. Thanks for helping!

NATO-Enforced NFZ in Ukraine 2022

Trustworthy News Ukraine Conflict Improve the News

There have been requests for a NATO-enforced no-fly zone in Ukraine. Commentators have warned that this risks a war between the US and Russia, the world's largest nuclear powers.

US Press Secretary Jen Psaki told Axios on February 28, 2022 that a no-fly zone in Ukraine:

"would require... implementation by the U.S. military"

Psaki continued:

"That is definitely escalatory, that would potentially put us into a place where we're in a military conflict with Russia. That is not something the president wants to do."

Despite Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's requests to NATO leaders that an NFZ be implemented, the NATO Secretary-General has stated that NATO does not intend to move into Ukraine:

"We have no intentions of moving into Ukraine neither on the ground or in the airspace," NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg told MSNBC on Monday. "We have a responsibility to make sure that this doesn't spiral out of control that escalates even further into concern for full-fledged war in Europe involving NATO allies."

The UK also appears reluctant to support an NFZ:

UK Defense Secretary Ben Wallace has also ruled out the idea, saying that "NATO would have to effectively declare war on Russia."

Will NATO declare a No-Fly Zone anywhere in Ukraine before 2023?

This question will resolve positively if NATO declares a No-Fly Zone over any part of Ukraine by December 31, 2022.

This question will be resolved based on a NATO government source or 5 reputable sources. No planes need to be shot down for this question to resolve positively.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.