Question

What will be the approval rating of Vladimir Putin in December 2022?

Resolved:81

39 comments39

Total Forecasters346

Community Prediction

(75.1 - 82.4)

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	75.14	79.98	82.45
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	75.14	—
median	79.98	—
upper 75%	82.45	—

What was the final result?81

Community Peer Score

52.0

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Mar 2, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 2, 2022

Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?

20%

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

11%

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Mar 2, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 2, 2022

Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?

20%

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

11%