Question
When will the next major bridge collapse occur in the USA?
Resolved:26 Oct 2022 14:40Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction
09 Jan 2023
(29 Aug 2022 - 18 Jun 2023)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 29 Aug 2022 | — |
| median | 09 Jan 2023 | — |
| upper 75% | 18 Jun 2023 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >01 Jan 2024 | 12.8% | — |
What was the final result?26 Oct 2022 14:40
Community Baseline Score
4.2
Community Peer Score
9.5
Authors:
Opened:Mar 2, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 3, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Mar 2, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 3, 2022