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Question

Will Russia control Kyiv on June 1, 2022?

Resolved:No
36
91 comments91
Total Forecasters832
Community Prediction
1%
(1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score
32.7
Authors:
christian
Opened:Mar 4, 2022
Closes:Apr 22, 2022
Resolves:Jun 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 4, 2022
Ukraine Conflict
Geopolitics
2022 Leaderboard
Deadly new Russian drone and missile attack hits Kyiv A massive overnight Russian attack has hit Ukraine's capital Kyiv. The attack involved 18 missiles and about 400 drones, President Volodymyr Zelensky has said. BBC, 10 July 2025:
•Jul 11, 2025
PBS NewsHour logo
Russia pounds Kyiv with another major missile and drone attack, killing at least 2
PBS NewsHour•Jul 11, 2025
Deadly new Russian drone, missile attack hits Kyiv
•Jul 10, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

1%

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

10%

Will Ukraine be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

Authors:
christian
Opened:Mar 4, 2022
Closes:Apr 22, 2022
Resolves:Jun 1, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 4, 2022
Ukraine Conflict
Geopolitics
2022 Leaderboard
Deadly new Russian drone and missile attack hits Kyiv A massive overnight Russian attack has hit Ukraine's capital Kyiv. The attack involved 18 missiles and about 400 drones, President Volodymyr Zelensky has said. BBC, 10 July 2025:
•Jul 11, 2025
PBS NewsHour logo
Russia pounds Kyiv with another major missile and drone attack, killing at least 2
PBS NewsHour•Jul 11, 2025
Deadly new Russian drone, missile attack hits Kyiv
•Jul 10, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

1%

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

10%

Will Ukraine be in control of these cities on January 1st, 2027?

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