19 comments
112 forecasters
Will a new US Supreme Court Justice be approved in 2018?
90%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 90% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jul 1, 2018
Closes:Oct 25, 2018
Resolved:Oct 6, 2018
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 1, 2018
Will the size of the US Supreme Court increase before 2029?
6% chance
154
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, how many US Supreme Court Justices will have been appointed by him on January 21, 2029?
24 forecasters
When will the next (post-Breyer) US Supreme Court vacancy arise?
19 Sep 2026
(31 Dec 2025 - 30 Sep 2027)
19 Sep 2026
(31 Dec 2025 - 30 Sep 2027)
32 forecasters