Question

Will the US claim that a Russian disinformation campaign attempted to influence the 2022 midterm elections?

Resolved:Yes

10 comments10

Total Forecasters111

Community Prediction

72%

(63% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 72%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

42.1

Community Peer Score

14.4

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Mar 15, 2022

Closes:

Nov 1, 2022

Resolves:

Nov 1, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 7, 2022

Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?

8.5%

Which party will control the US Congress following the 2026 midterm elections?

Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Mar 15, 2022

Closes:

Nov 1, 2022

Resolves:

Nov 1, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 7, 2022

Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?

8.5%