Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

43 forecasters

5

43 forecasters

White Hat Cyber

Will an impactful penetration of a software supply chain be discovered by a party other than themselves in 2022?

ResolvedNo

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

3 comments81 forecasters

Another Instructure Hack Before Sep 2026?

3 comments9 forecasters

Russian theft of frontier AI weights by 2030?

2 comments81 forecasters

Will cyberattack targeting AI cause power blackout in the US before 2028?

13 comments141 forecasters

AI Unauthorized Access Before 2033?

4 comments59 forecasters

Cybersecurity Laws for Powerful AI by 2030?

5 comments55 forecasters

Chinese Cyberattack on Taiwan Grid by 2030?

10 comments17 forecasters

When will an AI gain unauthorized access to other systems?

Current estimate

7 comments113 forecasters

Will the US government mandate security clearance from the employees that lead the research and development of the top models at OpenAI, Deepmind, or Anthropic before 2028?