Question
Will an impactful penetration of a software supply chain be discovered by a party other than themselves in 2022?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters43
Community Prediction
41%
(21% - 44%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
-0.3
Community Peer Score
12.8
Authors:
Opened:Mar 22, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 20, 2022
Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?
95%
Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?
57%
Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?
83%
Authors:
Opened:Mar 22, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 20, 2022
Will an AI system be reported to have independently gained unauthorized access to another computer system before 2033?
95%
Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?
57%
Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?
83%