Question
Will average semiconductor chip lead times (amount of time between order and delivery) drop to below 15 weeks at any point before July 1, 2022?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters100
Community Prediction
1%
(1% - 3%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
86.7
Community Peer Score
14.8
Authors:
Opened:Mar 8, 2022
Closes:Jun 30, 2022
Resolves:Jul 15, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 6, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
In January 2030, what will the Federal Reserves' Index be for industrial production of semiconductors and circuit boards?
591
Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?
62%
Before July 1, 2027, will TSMC lose large numbers of wafers in a short period of time due to attack or sabotage against one or more of its Taiwan-based "Fab" facilities?
Authors:
Opened:Mar 8, 2022
Closes:Jun 30, 2022
Resolves:Jul 15, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 6, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
In January 2030, what will the Federal Reserves' Index be for industrial production of semiconductors and circuit boards?
591
Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?
62%