Question

Will a cyberattack target a major system's data integrity before July 1, 2022?

Resolved:No

3 comments3

Total Forecasters39

Community Prediction

32.8%

(15% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 32.8%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

35.7

Community Peer Score

15.7

Authors:

AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Mar 15, 2022

Closes:

Jul 1, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 11, 2022

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95%

Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?

48%

When will an AI gain unauthorized access to systems outside its designated environment?

06 Jun 2029