11 comments
48 forecasters
Will it become public that the FBI sought a warrant to launch an operation to disrupt web shells on private computers in 2022?
40%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 40% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:Mar 8, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolved:Jun 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 7, 2022
Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?
5% chance
128
Will the Department of Justice file criminal charges against one or more journalists under the Espionage Act in the following years?
50 forecasters
Will senior DOJ leaders override normal procedures to open or accelerate a case against a high-profile presidential opponent or critic in the following years?
50 forecasters