225 comments
897 forecasters
Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024?
1%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 7, 2022
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolved:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 7, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch