According to Wikipedia:

"A nuclear and radiation accident is defined by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) as "an event that has led to significant consequences to people, the environment or the facility. Examples include lethal effect to individuals, large radioactivity release to the environment, reactor core melt." The prime example of a "major nuclear accident" is one in which a reactor core is damaged and significant amounts of radioactive isotopes are released, such as in the Chernobyl disaster in 1986 and Fukushima nuclear disaster in 2011.

Russian military forces seized Chernobyl during the first day of the Ukrainian invasion as well as Zaporizhzhia, the largest nuclear plant of its kind in Europe, during the seventh day.

Fighting near nuclear power plants could possibly mean an increased risk of a serious radiation incident. Thus we ask:

Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine by 2024?

The question will be resolved positively if at any time between March 4, 2022 and December 31, 2023 the International Atomic Energy Agency reports, in connection with any nuclear power plant within the borders of Ukraine – as they stood in December 2021 – an accident of level 5, 6 or 7 of the International Nuclear and Radiological Event Scale.