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- January 16, 2019
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Forecaster Stats
Level
∞ (Admin)
Predictions
383 predictions on 227 questions (136 resolved)
Comments
888 comments on 505 questions
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
- Metaculus Journal
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
- Global Trends 2022
- AI Progress Essay Contest
- FluSight Challenge 2021/22
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Cultured Meat Tournament
- Forecasting AI Progress
- Monkeypox (mpox)
- Autocrat Public Figures Series
- Biosecurity Tournament
- Improve the News
- Economist 2021
- Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
- Climate Tipping Points
- Transparent Replications
- Forecasting Our World in Data
- FluSight Challenge 2022/23
- Red Lines in Ukraine
- 🔰 2022Q4 Beginner Tournament 🔰
- 🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
- ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
- Economic Indicators
- 🤖 LLM Milestones 🤖
- 🔰 Beginner Tournament 🔰
- Keep Virginia Safe II
Causes and Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
7642 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Ukraine (15)
- Geopolitics – Armed Conflict (12)
- Business (7)
- Economy – US – Economic Indicators (5)
- Geopolitics (3)
Popular Questions
- Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022? (2682 forecasts)
- Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023? (2589 forecasts)
- Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? (1999 forecasts)
- Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? (1767 forecasts)
- Will Russia control Kharkiv on June 1, 2022? (1750 forecasts)