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- January 16, 2019
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Forecaster Stats
Level
∞ (Admin)
Predictions
512 predictions on 293 questions (177 resolved)
Comments
1042 comments on 600 questions
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
- Global Trends 2022
- FluSight Challenge 2021/22
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Cultured Meat Tournament
- Forecasting AI Progress
- Mpox (Monkeypox)
- Autocrat Public Figures Series
- Biosecurity Tournament
- Improve the News
- Economist 2021
- Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
- Climate Tipping Points
- Transparent Replications
- Forecasting Our World in Data
- FluSight Challenge 2022/23
- Red Lines in Ukraine
- 🔰Q4 2022 Beginner Tournament 🔰
- 🛰 The Sagan Space Tournament 🛰
- ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
- Economic Indicators
- 🤖 LLM Milestones 🤖
- Keep Virginia Safe II
- AI & Cybersecurity
- Reducing Antibiotic Resistance In Aquaculture
- FRO-casting
- ⚡Superconductor Frontiers⚡
- Antibody Characterization through Open Science
- Platform for Human Molecular Monitoring
- Systematic Study of Phage Genes and Functions
- Complete Map of Neural Input-Output Functions
Causes and Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
9128 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Ukraine (15)
- Geopolitics – Armed Conflict (12)
- Business (7)
- Geopolitics (5)
- Economy – US – Economic Indicators (5)
Popular Questions
- Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? (3720 forecasts)
- Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023? (3071 forecasts)
- Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? (2860 forecasts)
- Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022? (2682 forecasts)
- Will Russia control Kharkiv on June 1, 2022? (1750 forecasts)