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- January 16, 2019
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Forecaster Stats
Level
∞ (Admin)
Predictions
280 predictions on 172 questions (70 resolved)
Comments
709 comments on 398 questions
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
- Alt-Protein Tournament
- Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
- Trade Signal Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Tournament
- Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
- Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
- Metaculus Journal
- Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
- Global Trends 2022
- AI Progress Essay Contest
- FluSight Challenge
- China and Global Cooperation
- Ukraine Conflict
- White Hat Cyber
- Cultured Meat Tournament
- Monkeypox
- Autocrat Public Figures Series
- Biosecurity Tournament
- Improve the News
- Economist 2021
- Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
Causes and Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
6670 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Ukraine (15)
- Geopolitics – Armed Conflict (12)
- Business (7)
- Economy – US – Economic Indicators (5)
- Geopolitics (3)
Popular Questions
- Will Russia use chemical weapons in Ukraine in 2022? (1977 forecasts)
- Will Russia control Kharkiv on June 1, 2022? (1750 forecasts)
- Will at least three European countries refuse to buy natural gas from Russia in 2022? (1478 forecasts)
- Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023? (1435 forecasts)
- Will Russia control Chernihiv on June 1, 2022? (1394 forecasts)