Question
When will a permanent human settlement stay 1 year on the Moon?
Total Forecasters69
Community Prediction
Apr 2041
(Aug 2036 - Feb 2046)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Aug 2036 | — |
| median | Apr 2041 | — |
| upper 75% | Feb 2046 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2050 | 14.6% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:May 30, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2049
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 1, 2022
Authors:
Opened:May 30, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2049
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 1, 2022