Question
What will be the maximum number of people simultaneously on the moon in 2030?
Total Forecasters95
Community Prediction
2.32 people
(0.843 people - 5.51 people)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 0.8432 | — |
| median | 2.316 | — |
| upper 75% | 5.514 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100 | 0.8% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 15, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 30, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 14, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Dec 15, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 30, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 14, 2023