Question
When will the first tourist land on Mars?
Total Forecasters50
Community Prediction
>Jan 2050
(Oct 2046 - >Jan 2050)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Oct 2046 | — |
| median | >Jan 2050 | — |
| upper 75% | >Jan 2050 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2050 | 59.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:May 30, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2049
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 1, 2022
Authors:
Opened:May 30, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2049
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 1, 2022