25 comments
93 forecasters
If humanity goes extinct, will another intelligent civilization evolve while Earth remains habitable?
40%chance
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
Opened:Mar 16, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 3001
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 3001
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 16, 2022
If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?
Feb 2046
(May 2033 - 2086)
Feb 2046
(May 2033 - 2086)
71 forecasters
Will extinction occur within 20 years of the human population falling below 400 million, if the population falls that much by 2100?
22% chance
44
In how many years will humanity's descendants meet grabby aliens?
5.95M years
(404 - 286B)
5.95M years
(404 - 286B)
96 forecasters