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- November 28, 2018
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Forecaster Stats
Level
12 (Prophet)
Predictions
1310 predictions on 362 questions (168 resolved)
Comments
538 comments on 224 questions
Rank
110th
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
Causes and Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
13518 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Effective Altruism (33)
- Politics – US (31)
- Computer Science – AI and Machine Learning (22)
- Novel Coronavirus (Covid-19) (18)
- Economy – US (15)
Popular Questions
- Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at any point during the 2020s? (1191 forecasts)
- Will any body of the US federal government conclude that COVID-19 originated in a lab in Hubei before June 1st 2022? (684 forecasts)
- Longbets series: By 2029 will a computer have passed the Turing Test? (647 forecasts)
- Will Derek Chauvin be acquitted of all murder charges? (613 forecasts)
- Will Trump freely leave the White House? (585 forecasts)