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- November 28, 2018
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Forecaster Stats
Level
12 (Prophet)
Predictions
1498 predictions on 395 questions (211 resolved)
Comments
606 comments on 242 questions
Rank
161st
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
Causes and Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
21002 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Politics – US (35)
- Computer Science – AI and Machine Learning (35)
- Effective Altruism (33)
- Computing – Artificial Intelligence (27)
- Novel Coronavirus (Covid-19) (20)
Popular Questions
- When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced? (1970 forecasts)
- Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet? (1231 forecasts)
- Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at any point during the 2020s? (1191 forecasts)
- Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2030) (1155 forecasts)
- Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2025) (978 forecasts)