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Member Since
- November 28, 2018
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Forecaster Stats
Level
12 (Prophet)
Predictions
1383 predictions on 378 questions (179 resolved)
Comments
577 comments on 237 questions
Rank
120th
Achievements
Tournaments and Projects
Causes and Organizations
Author Stats
Questions
Forecasts
16122 unique forecasts on authored questions
Top Categories
- Computer Science – AI and Machine Learning (34)
- Politics – US (33)
- Effective Altruism (33)
- Computing – Artificial Intelligence (24)
- Novel Coronavirus (Covid-19) (20)
Popular Questions
- Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at any point during the 2020s? (1191 forecasts)
- Longbets series: By 2029, will a computer have passed the Turing Test? (823 forecasts)
- When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced? (727 forecasts)
- Will a 100 trillion parameter deep learning model be trained before 2026? (696 forecasts)
- Will any body of the US federal government conclude that COVID-19 originated in a lab in Hubei before June 1st 2022? (684 forecasts)