Question
How many refugees will leave Ukraine by July 1, 2022?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters198
Community Prediction
>5M
(>5M - >5M)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | >5M | — |
| median | >5M | — |
| upper 75% | >5M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >5M | 94.0% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
59.9
Community Peer Score
10.2
Authors:
Opened:Mar 15, 2022
Closes:Jun 30, 2022
Resolves:Jun 30, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 16, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Mar 15, 2022
Closes:Jun 30, 2022
Resolves:Jun 30, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 16, 2022